Nā hanana hoʻokele waiwai e hiki mai ana 10 Kekemapa 2024

Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)	Moku'āina	nui	hanana	Forecast	Previous
00:30		2 puan	NAB Pāʻoihana hilinaʻi (Nov)	---	5
03:00		2 puan	Kauna Kalepa (USD) (Nov)	94.00B	95.27B
03:00		2 puan	Hoʻokomo ʻia (YoY) (Nov)	0.3%	-2.3%
03:00		2 puan	Hoʻokuʻu aku (YoY) (Nov)	8.5%	12.7%
03:30		3 puan	ʻO ka hoʻoholo ʻana i ka uku ukupanee RBA (Dek)	4.35%	4.35%
03:30		2 puan	Hōʻike Kūkākūkā RBA	---	---
10:00		2 puan	Halawai OPEC	---	---
10:00		2 puan	Hui Eurogroup	---	---
13:30		2 puan	ʻAi ʻole mahiʻai (QoQ) (Q3)	2.2%	2.5%
13:30		2 puan	Nā Koina Hana Hana (QoQ) (Q3)	1.9%	0.4%
17:00		2 puan	EIA Pōkole Kūlana Kūlana	---	---
17:00		2 puan	Hoike WASDE	---	---
18:00		2 puan	Kudala Kudala 3 Makahiki	---	4.152%
21:30		2 puan	Kahua Aila ʻAila i kēlā me kēia pule API	---	1.232M
23:50		2 puan	BSI Nā Kūlana Hana Nui (Q4)	1.8	4.5

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Dekemaba 10, 2024

1. ʻO Australia NAB Business Confidence (Nov) (00:30 UTC):
   • Previous: 5.
     Hōʻike ka manaʻo ʻoihana ma waena o Australia. Kākoʻo ka manaʻo maikaʻi i ka AUD, ʻoiai ka emi ʻana e hōʻike ana i ka makaʻala i waena o nā ʻoihana, hiki ke kaupaona ʻia i ke kālā.
2. ʻIkepili Kālepa Kina (Nov) (03:00 UTC):
   • ʻIke kaulike: Ka wānana: $94.00B, Mua: $95.27B.
   • Hoʻokomo ʻia (YoY): Ka wānana: 0.3%, Mua: -2.3%.
   • Hoʻokuʻu aku (YoY): Ka wānana: 8.5%, Mua: 12.7%.
     ʻO ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana a i ʻole ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana i nā mea lawe mai e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka noi honua a me ka home, e kākoʻo ana i ka CNY a me ka manaʻo pilikia. Hiki i nā ʻikepili nāwaliwali ke hōʻike i nā headwinds no ka hoʻokele waiwai o Kina, ke kaupaona nei ma ka CNY a me nā kālā pili waiwai e like me AUD.
3. ʻO ka hoʻoholo a me ka ʻōlelo hoʻoholo ukupanee RBA Australia (03:30 UTC):
   • Ka wānana: 4.35%, Previous: 4.35%.
     E kākoʻo ka leo hawkish a i ʻole ka piʻi ʻana i ka helu i manaʻo ʻole ʻia i ka AUD. ʻO ka ʻōlelo Dovish e hōʻike ana i nā pilikia waiwai hiki ke kaupaona i ke kālā.
4. Hui Eurozone & OPEC (10:00 UTC):
   • ʻO ka hui Eurogroup e pili ana i nā pilikia waiwai a me ke kālā i loko o ka Eurozone.
   • Kūkākūkā ka hālāwai OPEC i nā kulekele hana aila a me nā kūlana mākeke. ʻO nā hoʻololi hoʻololi e pili ana i nā kumukūʻai aila a me nā kālā pili waiwai.
5. Nā Hana Hana Hana a me nā Koina (Q3) (13:30 UTC):
   • ʻAi ʻole mahiʻai (QoQ): Ka wānana: 2.2%, Mua: 2.5%.
   • Nā Koina Hana Hana (QoQ): Ka wānana: 1.9%, Mua: 0.4%.
     Kākoʻo ka ʻoihana kiʻekiʻe i ka hoʻokele waiwai, e pōmaikaʻi ana i ka USD. ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai hana e hōʻike ana i nā koi o ka uku, hiki ke hoʻoikaika i nā hopohopo hoʻonui a kākoʻo i ka USD.
6. Nā Hōʻike Manaʻo a me ka Mahiʻai ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa (17:00 UTC):
   • ʻO ka Manaʻo EIA no ka wā pōkole: Hāʻawi i nā ʻike e pili ana i ka noi ikehu a me nā ʻano hana hana, e hoʻohuli ana i nā mākeke aila a me ka ikehu.
   • Hōʻike WASDE: Nā mea hou e pili ana i ka lako mahiʻai a me ka koi, e pili ana i nā mākeke kūʻai.
7. ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa 3 Makahiki (18:00 UTC):
   • Hua mua: 4.152%.
     ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o nā hua e hōʻike ana i nā manaʻolana kiʻekiʻe o ka hoʻonui a i ʻole ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka noi no ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD.
8. Kūʻai ʻaila ʻaila i kēlā me kēia pule API US (21:30 UTC):
   • Previous: 1.232M.
     Hōʻike ka drawdown i ka koi ikaika, kākoʻo i nā kumukūʻai aila a me nā kālā pili i ka ikehu. Hōʻike ke kūkulu ʻana i ke koi nāwaliwali, e koi ana i nā kumukūʻai.
9. Nā Kūlana Hana Nui o Iapana BSI (Q4) (23:50 UTC):
   • Ka wānana: 1.8, Previous: 4.5.
     Ana i nā kūlana ʻoihana ma waena o nā mea hana nui. ʻO ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i nā kūlana e kākoʻo i ka JPY, ʻoiai ʻo ka emi ʻana o ka manaʻo hiki ke kaupaona i ke kālā.

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Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

• ʻO Australia NAB & RBA hoʻoholo:
  ʻO ka RBA hawkish a i ʻole ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka hilinaʻi ʻoihana e kākoʻo i ka AUD. Hiki ke kaumaha i ke kālā ka hilinaʻi nāwaliwali a i ʻole nā ​​​​leo kulekele dovish.
• ʻIkepili kālepa Kina:
  ʻO nā helu kālepa ikaika, ʻoi aku ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana mai, e kākoʻo i ka CNY a hoʻomaikaʻi i ka manaʻo pilikia o ka honua, e hoʻomaikaʻi ana i nā kālā pili waiwai e like me AUD. Hiki i nā ʻikepili nāwaliwali ke hoʻohaʻahaʻa i ka manaʻo.
• Huahana a me nā koina US:
  ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o ka huahana a me nā koina hana paʻa e kākoʻo i ka USD, e hōʻailona ana i ka pono o ka hoʻokele waiwai. ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai hana hiki ke hoʻoikaika i ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i ka inflationary, e kākoʻo pū ana hoʻi i ka USD.
• ʻAila a me nā hōʻike waiwai:
  ʻO nā hoʻoholo OPEC, ka ʻikepili EIA, a me nā mea hou o WASDE e hoʻoikaika i nā kumukūʻai kūʻai a me nā kālā pili e like me CAD a me AUD.
• Manaʻo hana ʻo Iapana:
  ʻO ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i nā kūlana ʻoihana e kākoʻo i ka JPY, e hōʻailona ana i ke kūpaʻa i ka ʻoihana hana. Hōʻike ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali i nā pilikia e hoʻomau nei, e kaupaona ana i ke kālā.

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Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa

Ka uluʻana:
Kiʻekiʻe, me ka nānā nui ʻana i ka ʻikepili kālepa o Kina, ka hoʻoholo a RBA, ka huahana hana US, a me ka ʻike ʻana o ka mākeke aila o OPEC.

Helu hopena: 8/10, alakaʻi ʻia e ka ʻikepili kālepa honua, nā hoʻoholo panakō waena, a me nā hōʻike mākeke waiwai e hoʻokumu ana i ka manaʻo no AUD, CNY, USD, a me JPY.