Nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana 10 Iulai 2024

Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)	Moku'āina	nui	hanana	Forecast	Previous
01:30		2 puan	ʻAe ʻia ka hale (MoM) (Mei)	5.5%	-0.3%
01:30		2 puan	CPI (MoM) (Iun)	-0.1%	-0.1%
01:30		2 puan	CPI (YoY) (Iun)	0.4%	0.3%
01:30		2 puan	PPI (YoY) (Iun)	-0.8%	-1.4%
02:00		3 puan	ʻO ka hoʻoholo ʻana i ka uku ukupanee RBNZ	5.50%	5.50%
02:00		2 puan	ʻO ka ʻōlelo hoʻohālikelike RBNZ	---	---
11:00		2 puan	Hoike Mahina OPEC	---	---
14:00		3 puan	Hoike ka Luna Hoomalu Powell	---	---
14:30		3 puan	Na Waiwai Aila	-0.250M	-12.157M
14:30		2 puan	Cushing Oil Crude Inventory	---	0.345M
16:00		2 puan	ʻO Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2)	1.5%	1.5%
17:00		3 puan	Kudala Kudala 10 Makahiki	---	4.438%
18:30		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Bowman lālā FOMC	---	---

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Iulai 10, 2024

1. ʻAe ʻia ka hale o Australia (MoM) (Mei): Hoʻololi i kēlā me kēia mahina i ka helu o nā ʻae hale hou. Ka wānana: + 5.5%, Mua: -0.3%.
2. Kina CPI (MoM) (Iun): Hoʻololi i kēlā me kēia mahina i nā kumukūʻai kūʻai. Ka wānana: -0.1%, Mua: -0.1%.
3. Kina CPI (YoY) (Iun): Hoʻololi makahiki i nā kumukūʻai kūʻai. Ka wānana: + 0.4%, Mua: + 0.3%.
4. Kina PPI (YoY) (Iun): Hoʻololi makahiki i nā kumukūʻai mea hana. Ka wānana: -0.8%, Mua: -1.4%.
5. ʻO ka manaʻo hoʻoholo uku ukupanee RBNZ: ʻO ka hoʻoholo a Reserve Bank of New Zealand e pili ana i ka uku panee. Ka wānana: 5.50%, Mua: 5.50%.
6. ʻO ka hōʻike kumukūʻai RBNZ: ʻO ka ʻōlelo e pili ana i ka hoʻoholo ʻana o ka uku paneʻe a ka RBNZ.
7. Hōʻike mahina o OPEC: Hōʻike kikoʻī i ka manaʻo o OPEC i ka hana ʻaila a me nā kūlana mākeke.
8. Ua hōʻike ʻo Fed Chair Powell: ʻO nā manaʻo nui e pili ana i nā kūlana waiwai a me nā kulekele US.
9. ʻO nā waihona ʻaila ʻaila: ʻO ka hoʻololi ʻana i kēlā me kēia pule i ka nui o nā barela o ka aila ʻaila i mālama ʻia i loko o ka waihona e nā ʻoihana kalepa. Ka wānana: -0.250M, Mua: -12.157M.
10. Cushing Oil Crude Inventory: ʻO ka hoʻololi ʻana i kēlā me kēia pule i nā waihona aila ʻaila ma Cushing, Oklahoma hale mālama. Mua: +0.345M.
11. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2): Manaʻo manawa maoli o ka ulu ʻana o US GDP no Q2. Ka wānana: 1.5%, Mua: 1.5%.
12. Kudala 10-makahiki memo: E noʻonoʻo ana i ke koi ʻana o nā mea hoʻopukapuka kālā no US 10-makahiki Treasuries. Mua: 4.438%.
13. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Bowman lālā FOMC: Nā ʻike hou aku i ke kūlana kulekele o ka Federal Reserve.

Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

• ʻAe ʻia ka hale o Australia: Hōʻike nā ʻae kiʻekiʻe i ka hana kūkulu ikaika, hiki ke hoʻonui i ka AUD; ʻo ka haʻahaʻa ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia hiki ke hōʻailona i kahi lohi.
• Kina CPI (MoM a me YoY): Hōʻike ka CPI kūpaʻa a i ʻole ke kiʻekiʻe o ka inflationary pressure, e pili ana i ka yuan (CNY) a me nā manaʻolana kulekele; Hiki i ka CPI haʻahaʻa ke hōʻailona i ka nāwaliwali o ka hoʻokele waiwai.
• Kina PPI (YoY): Hōʻike ka PPI kiʻekiʻe e hoʻonui i nā kumukūʻai hana, hiki ke hoʻonui i ka CNY; hōʻike ka PPI haʻahaʻa i nā kaomi deflationary.
• ʻO ka hoʻoholo a me ka ʻōlelo a ka RBNZ i ka uku uku panee: ʻAʻohe hoʻololi i nā kumukūʻai i manaʻo ʻia; Hiki ke hoʻopilikia i ka NZD a me nā mākeke kūloko.
• Hōʻike mahina o OPEC: Hāʻawi i nā ʻike e pili ana i ka hana ʻaila a me ka koi, e pili ana i nā kumukūʻai aila a me nā waihona ikehu.
• Luna Hoʻokele Fed Powell: Hiki ke hōʻoiaʻiʻo i nā mākeke; Hiki i ka leo hawkish ke alakaʻi i nā hua paʻa kiʻekiʻe a me nā kaulike haʻahaʻa.
• ʻO nā waihona ʻaila ʻaila: ʻOi aku ka liʻiliʻi o ka huki ʻana ma mua o ka wānana i hiki ke hoʻohaʻahaʻa i nā kumukūʻai aila; hiki i ka huki huki nui ke hoʻonui i nā kumukūʻai.
• Cushing Oil Crude Inventory: Hōʻike i nā pae mālama; hopena i ka volatility kumu kūʻai aila.
• Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2): Kākoʻo ʻo Stable GDP i ka hilinaʻi; hiki i nā loli koʻikoʻi ke hoʻololi i ka ʻike mākeke.
• Kudala 10-makahiki memo: Kākoʻo ka koi ikaika i nā paʻa a hoʻohaʻahaʻa i nā hua; hiki i ke koi nāwaliwali ke hoʻonui i nā hua a me ka hopena i nā kaulike.
• ʻO ka lālā FOMC Bowman: ʻO nā manaʻo Dovish e hōʻoiaʻiʻo i nā mākeke; hawkish olelo hoonui volatility.

Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa

• Ka uluʻana: Kiʻekiʻe, me nā hopena koʻikoʻi koʻikoʻi ma ke kaulike, ka paʻa, a me nā mākeke aila.
• Helu hopena: 7/10, e hōʻike ana i kahi kūlana kiʻekiʻe no ka neʻe ʻana o ka mākeke.