Nā hanana hoʻokele waiwai e hiki mai ana 12 Kekemapa 2024

Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)	Moku'āina	nui	hanana	Forecast	Previous
00:30		2 puan	Hoololi hana (Nov)	26.0K	15.9K
00:30		2 puan	Hoʻololi piha i ka hana (Nov)	---	9.7K
00:30		2 puan	Ka helu hana ʻole (Nov)	4.2%	4.1%
09:00		2 puan	IEA Hoike Mahina	---	---
13:15		2 puan	Ka uku o ka waihona waihona (Dec)	3.00%	3.25%
13:15		2 puan	ECB Marginal Lending Facility	---	3.65%
13:15		2 puan	ECB Monetary Policy Statement	---	---
13:15		2 puan	ʻO ka hoʻoholo o ka uku paneʻe ECB (Dec)	3.15%	3.40%
13:30		2 puan	Ke hoʻomau nei i nā koi hana ʻole	1,880K	1,871K
13:30		2 puan	PPI kumu (MoM) (Nov)	0.2%	0.3%
13:30		2 puan	Nā hoʻopiʻi koi Jobless Initial	221K	224K
13:30		2 puan	PPI (MoM) (Nov)	0.2%	0.2%
13:45		2 puan	ECB Press Conference	---	---
15:15		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde	---	---
18:00		2 puan	Kudala Kudala 30 Makahiki	---	4.608%
21:30		2 puan	Ka Pepa Kaulike o Fed	---	6,896B
21:30		2 puan	PMI NZ pāʻoihana (Nov)	---	45.8
23:50		2 puan	Tankan All Big Industry CAPEX (Q4)	9.6%	10.6%
23:50		2 puan	ʻO Tankan Big Manufacturing Outlook Index (Q4)	---	14
23:50		2 puan	Papa kuhikuhi o na mea hana nui o Tankan (Q4)	13	13
23:50		2 puan	ʻO ka papa kuhikuhi o nā mea hana ʻole ʻo Tankan (Q4)	33	34

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Dekemaba 12, 2024

1. ʻIkepili Hana Hana (Nov) (00:30 UTC):
   • Hoʻololi hana: Ka wānana: 26.0K, Mua: 15.9K.
   • Hoʻololi piha i ka hana: Mua: 9.7K.
   • Ka helu hana ʻole: Ka wānana: 4.2%, Mua: 4.1%.
     ʻO ka ulu ikaika o ka hana a i ʻole ka hana ʻole paʻa e hōʻailona i kahi mākeke hana paʻa, e kākoʻo ana i ka AUD. Hiki i nā ʻikepili nāwaliwali ke kaupaona i ke kālā ma ka hōʻike ʻana i nā pilikia hoʻokele waiwai.
2. Hōʻike Mahina IEA (09:00 UTC):
   Nā mea hou e pili ana i ka lako ikehu honua a me nā ʻano koi. Hiki i nā ʻike i ka hana a i ʻole nā ​​wanana koi ke hoʻololi i nā kumukūʻai aila a me nā kālā pili waiwai e like me CAD a me AUD.
3. ʻO ka hoʻoholo ʻana i ka uku ukupanee Eurozone ECB a me nā mea hou i nā kulekele (13:15–13:45 UTC):
   • Ka uku o ka waihona waihona: Ka wānana: 3.00%, Mua: 3.25%.
   • Hoʻoholo i ka uku panee: Ka wānana: 3.15%, Mua: 3.40%.
   • ECB Press Conference (13:45) & Lagarde Speech (15:15):
     E kākoʻo ana nā hoʻoholo a i ʻole nā ​​​​manaʻo Hawkish i ka EUR, e hōʻailona ana i nā hopohopo hoʻonui. Hiki i nā hana Dovish ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ke kālā ma ka hōʻike ʻana i kahi lohi i ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana.
4. Makeke Hana Hana a me ka ʻikepili hoʻonui ʻana o nā mea hana (13:30 UTC):
   • ʻO nā koi hana ʻole mua: Ka wānana: 221K, Mua: 224K.
   • Ke hoʻomau nei i nā koi hana ʻole: Ka wānana: 1,880K, Mua: 1,871K.
   • PPI kumu (MoM): Ka wānana: 0.2%, Mua: 0.3%.
   • PPI (MoM): Ka wānana: 0.2%, Mua: 0.2%.
     ʻO ka PPI kūpaʻa a i ʻole ka emi ʻana e hōʻailona i ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻana i ka piʻi ʻana o ka inflationary, hiki ke hoʻopalupalu i ka USD. ʻO kahi mākeke hana ikaika e hoʻoikaika i ka ikaika USD.
5. ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa 30 Makahiki (18:00 UTC):
   • Hua mua: 4.608%.
     ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o nā hua e kākoʻo i ka USD ma ka noʻonoʻo ʻana i nā manaʻolana kiʻekiʻe o ka hoʻonui ʻana a i ʻole ka piʻi ʻana o ka noi no ka aie aupuni.
6. PMI Pāʻoihana New Zealand (Nov) (21:30 UTC):
   • Previous: 45.8.
     ʻO ka PMI ma lalo o 50 e hōʻailona ana i ka hōʻemi ʻana i ka ʻoihana hana. E kaumaha ana ka emi ʻana o ka NZD, ʻoiai ʻo ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana e hōʻailona i ka hoʻihoʻi.
7. ʻIkepili Tankan Iapana (Q4) (23:50 UTC):
   • Tankan All Big Industry CAPEX: Ka wānana: 9.6%, Mua: 10.6%.
   • ʻO Tankan Nui Manufacturers Index: Ka wānana: 13, Ma mua: 13.
   • ʻO Tankan Nui Non-Manufacturers Index: Ka wānana: 33, Ma mua: 34.
     Hōʻike i ka manaʻo pāʻoihana a me ka hoʻolimalima kālā. Kākoʻo nā heluhelu ikaika i ka JPY ma ka hōʻailona ʻana i ka manaʻo maikaʻi, ʻoiai nā hopena nāwaliwali ke kaupaona ʻana i ke kālā.

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Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

• ʻIkepili Hana Hana Australia:
  E kākoʻo ana nā helu hana ikaika a i ʻole nā ​​helu hana ʻole paʻa i ka AUD, e hōʻailona ana i ka hoʻokele waiwai. E kaumaha ana ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali i ke kālā.
• Hoʻoholo ECB & ʻŌlelo Lagarde:
  E kākoʻo nā kulekele Hawkish ECB a i ʻole ka ʻōlelo ʻōlelo i ka EUR, e noʻonoʻo ana i nā hopohopo hoʻonui a me ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i nā kulekele. ʻO nā ʻōlelo Dovish a i ʻole nā ​​​​ʻoki ʻoki e hoʻonāwaliwali i ka EUR.
• ʻIkepili Hana Hana a me ka Inflation:
  ʻO nā koi haʻahaʻa hana ʻole a me ka PPI paʻa e hoʻoikaika i ka ikaika USD ma o ka hōʻike ʻana i kahi mākeke hana ikaika a me ka hoʻokele waiwai. ʻO nā koi kiʻekiʻe a i ʻole nā ​​​​helu PPI nāwaliwali hiki ke hoʻopalupalu i ka USD.
• ʻO ka nānā ʻana i ka Tankan Iapana:
  ʻO ka manaʻo ikaika a i ʻole ka ulu CAPEX e kākoʻo i ka JPY, e hōʻike ana i ka hilinaʻi ʻoihana. Hōʻike nā hōʻole i nā pilikia hoʻokele waiwai, e kaupaona ana i ke kālā.

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Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa

Ka uluʻana:
Kiʻekiʻe, me nā hoʻoholo koʻikoʻi mai ka ECB, nā ʻikepili hana nui a me ka hoʻonui kālā mai ka US, a me nā ʻano hana ma Australia e hoʻokele nei i nā neʻe i ka AUD, EUR, a me USD.

Helu hopena: 8/10, hoʻololi ʻia e nā hoʻoholo helu ECB, ka ʻikepili hana a me ka hoʻonui kālā o US, a me ka manaʻo hana mai Iapana a me New Zealand.