Nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana 13 Nowemapa 2024

Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)	Moku'āina	nui	hanana	Forecast	Previous
00:30		2 puan	Papa Kuhikuhi Uku (QoQ) (Q3)	0.9%	0.8%
08:00		2 puan	Hui Kūlana Kūlana ʻole o ka Pākē Waena ʻEulopa	---	---
13:30		2 puan	CPI kumu (YoY) (ʻOkakopa)	3.3%	3.3%
13:30		2 puan	CPI kumu (MoM) (ʻOkakopa)	0.3%	0.3%
13:30		2 puan	CPI (MoM) (ʻOkakopa)	0.2%	0.2%
13:30		2 puan	CPI (YoY) (ʻOkakopa)	2.6%	2.4%
13:30		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Kashkari lālā FOMC	---	---
14:30		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Williams Member FOMC	---	---
17:00		2 puan	EIA Pōkole Kūlana Kūlana	---	---
19:00		2 puan	Koe kālā Federal (ʻOkakopa)	-226.4B	64.0B
21:30		2 puan	Kahua Aila ʻAila i kēlā me kēia pule API	---	3.132M

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Nowemapa 13, 2024

1. Hōʻike Kūʻai Kūʻai ʻo Australia (QoQ) (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
   Ke ana i nā hoʻololi hapaha makahiki i ka uku o Australia, kahi hōʻailona o ka piʻi ʻana o ka inflationary. Ka wānana: 0.9%, Mua: 0.8%. E kākoʻo ka ulu ʻana o ka uku kiʻekiʻe i ka AUD ma ka hōʻailona ʻana i nā kūlana mākeke hana ikaika, hiki ke hoʻololi i ke kulekele RBA.
2. Hui Kūkākūkā ʻAʻole Monetary ECB (08:00 UTC):
   ʻO kahi hālāwai e pili ana i nā kumuhana kulekele pili kālā, hiki ke hāʻawi i nā ʻike i ka manaʻo o ka ECB e pili ana i nā mea waiwai a me nā hoʻoponopono. Hoʻopili koke ʻia ka hopena ma ka EUR ke ʻole ke kūkākūkā ʻia nā pilikia waiwai nui.
3. US Core CPI & CPI (YoY & MoM) (ʻOkakopa) (13:30 UTC):

• CPI kumu (YoY): Ka wānana: 3.3%, Mua: 3.3%.
• CPI kumu (MoM): Ka wānana: 0.3%, Mua: 0.3%.
• CPI (MoM): Ka wānana: 0.2%, Mua: 0.2%.
• CPI (YoY): Ka wānana: 2.6%, Mua: 2.4%.
  E kākoʻo ana nā helu hoʻonui paʻa a piʻi paha i ke USD ma ka hōʻike ʻana i nā koʻikoʻi o ke kumu kūʻai mau, hiki ke hoʻonui i ka hiki ke piʻi i ka Fed e hiki mai ana. Hiki i ka emi ʻana ke hōʻike i ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻana i ka inflation, e hōʻemi ana i ke kaomi ma ka Fed.

1. ʻŌlelo nā lālā FOMC ʻo Kashkari & Williams (13:30 & 14:30 UTC):
   Hiki i nā ʻōlelo a Neel Kashkari a me John Williams ke hāʻawi i ke alakaʻi hou aʻe i ka manaʻo o ka Fed no ka hoʻonui ʻana a me ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai. E kākoʻo ana ka ʻōlelo Hawkish i ka USD, ʻoiai ke kaupaona nei nā leo dovish.
2. EIA Pōkole Makana Energy (17:00 UTC):
   ʻO ka nānā ʻana i ka ikehu o kēlā me kēia mahina mai ka US Energy Information Administration, e wehewehe ana i nā wānana mākeke ikehu, hiki ke hoʻololi i nā kumukūʻai aila a me nā kālā pili i ka ikehu.
3. Koe kālā Federal US (ʻOkakopa) (19:00 UTC):
   Ana i ke koena o ke aupuni pekelala i ke koena a i ole hemahema paha. Ka wānana: -$226.4B, Mua: $64.0B. ʻO ka hapa nui e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻolimalima aupuni kiʻekiʻe e pili ana i ka loaʻa kālā, hiki ke hoʻopilikia i ka USD ma o ka hoʻonui ʻana i nā hopohopo aie.
4. Kahua ʻAila ʻAila ʻAla I kēlā me kēia pule (21:30 UTC):
   Hoʻopili i nā hoʻololi i kēlā me kēia pule i nā waihona ʻaila ʻaila ʻAmelika. Mua: 3.132M. ʻO ka emi ʻana o nā waihona e hōʻike ana i ka koi ikaika, hiki ke kākoʻo i nā kumukūʻai aila, ʻoiai ke kūkulu ʻia e hōʻike i ka makemake nāwaliwali, e kau ana i ke kaomi ma nā kumukūʻai.

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Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

• Hōʻike Kūʻai Kūʻai ʻo Australia:
  ʻO ka ulu ʻana o ka uku kiʻekiʻe ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia e kākoʻo i ka AUD ma o ka hōʻike ʻana i ka piʻi ʻana o ka inflationary ma ka mākeke hana, hiki ke hoʻoikaika hou i ka RBA. ʻO ka ulu ʻana o ka uku haʻahaʻa e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻonui haʻahaʻa, hiki ke kaupaona ʻia ma ka AUD.
• ʻIkepili CPI US:
  ʻO nā helu CPI kūpaʻa a piʻi paha e hoʻoikaika i nā hopohopo inflationary, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD ma o ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka likelike o kahi kūlana Fed hawkish. ʻO ka ʻikepili hoʻonui nāwaliwali e hōʻemi i ke kaomi ma luna o ka Fed, hiki ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ka USD.
• ʻŌlelo FOMC (Kashkari & Williams):
  E kākoʻo ana nā ʻōlelo Hawkish i ka USD ma o ka manaʻo ʻana i ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i ka Fed, ʻoiai ʻo ka ʻōlelo dovish e hōʻailona i ka makaʻala, hiki ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ke kālā.
• EIA Pōkole Manaʻo Manaʻo & API Kūʻai ʻaila:
  ʻO nā wānana o ka lako ʻoi aku ka paʻakikī a i ʻole ka piʻi ʻana o ka noi ma ka hōʻike EIA e kākoʻo i nā kumukūʻai aila. Hoʻopili pū ka ʻikepili helu API i nā kumukūʻai aila, me ka huki ʻana i nā kumukūʻai kākoʻo ʻoi aku ka nui ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia.
• ʻO ke koena kālā o ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa:
  Hiki ke kaupaona ʻia kahi hapa nui ma ka USD ma o ka hoʻonui ʻana i nā hopohopo hoʻomau kālā, ʻoiai ʻo ka hapa liʻiliʻi e hōʻike i ka hoʻomaikaʻi kālā, e kākoʻo ana i ke kālā.

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Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa

Ka uluʻana:
Kiʻekiʻe, alakaʻi ʻia e ka ʻikepili koʻikoʻi US inflation (CPI), ka ʻikepili uku mai Australia, a me nā haʻi'ōlelo FOMC e hoʻoikaika i nā mākeke kālā a me nā waiwai.

Helu hopena: 7/10, me ka hōʻike CPI a me ka ʻōlelo Fed e hoʻonohonoho i ka leo no ka alakaʻi USD, ʻoiai ʻo ka ʻikepili ikehu a me ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka waihona kālā e hoʻopilikia pū i ka manaʻo.