Nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana 14 Nowemapa 2024

Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)	Moku'āina	nui	hanana	Forecast	Previous
00:30		2 puan	Hoʻololi hana (ʻOkakopa)	25.2K	64.1K
00:30		2 puan	Hoʻololi piha i ka hana (ʻOkakopa)	---	51.6K
00:30		2 puan	Ka helu hana ʻole (ʻOkakopa)	4.1%	4.1%
08:30		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo De Guindos o ECB	---	---
10:00		2 puan	IEA Hoike Mahina	---	---
10:00		2 puan	GDP (YoY) (Q3)	0.9%	0.6%
10:00		2 puan	GDP (QoQ) (Q3)	0.4%	0.2%
10:00		2 puan	Hana Hana Hana (MoM) (Sep)	-1.3%	1.8%
12:30		2 puan	Hoʻopuka ʻo ECB i ka moʻolelo o ka hālāwai kulekele kālā	---	---
13:30		2 puan	Ke hoʻomau nei i nā koi hana ʻole	1,880K	1,892K
13:30		2 puan	PPI kumu (MoM) (ʻOkakopa)	0.3%	0.2%
13:30		3 puan	Nā hoʻopiʻi koi Jobless Initial	224K	221K
13:30		3 puan	PPI (MoM) (ʻOkakopa)	0.2%	0.0%
16:00		3 puan	Na Waiwai Aila	1.000M	2.149M
16:00		2 puan	Cushing Oil Crude Inventory	---	0.522M
18:30		2 puan	ʻŌlelo ʻo Schnabel o ECB	---	---
19:00		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde	---	---
20:00		3 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Fed Chair Powell	---	---
21:15		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Williams Member FOMC	---	---
21:30		2 puan	Ka Pepa Kaulike o Fed	---	6,994B
21:30		2 puan	PMI NZ pāʻoihana (ʻOkakopa)	---	46.9
23:50		2 puan	GDP (YoY) (Q3)	---	2.9%
23:50		3 puan	GDP (QoQ) (Q3)	0.2%	0.7%
23:50		2 puan	Papa kuhikuhi kumu kūʻai GDP (YoY) (Q3)	2.8%	3.1%

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Nowemapa 14, 2024

1. ʻIkepili Hana Hana Australia (ʻOkakopa) (00:30 UTC):

• Hoʻololi hana: Ka wānana: 25.2K, Mua: 64.1K.
• Hoʻololi piha i ka hana: Mua: 51.6K.
• Ka helu hana ʻole: Ka wānana: 4.1%, Mua: 4.1%.
  E kākoʻo ka ulu hana ikaika i ka AUD ma ka hōʻailona ʻana i kahi mākeke hana ikaika, ʻoiai ʻo ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali a i ʻole ka piʻi ʻana o ka hana ʻole hiki ke kaupaona i ke kālā.

1. ʻŌlelo ʻo De Guindos o ECB (08:30 UTC):
   Hiki i nā ʻōlelo a ka Hope Pelekikena ECB ʻo Luis de Guindos ke hāʻawi i nā ʻike e pili ana i nā kūlana hoʻokele waiwai o ka Eurozone a me nā kulekele kālā, hiki ke hoʻololi i ka EUR.
2. Hōʻike Mahina IEA (10:00 UTC):
   Aia ka hōʻike mahina a ka International Energy Agency i nā mea hou e pili ana i ka lako ikehu honua a me nā wānana noi. Hiki i ka hōʻike ke hoʻopili i nā kumukūʻai aila a me nā kālā e pili ana i ka ikehu e pili ana i nā loiloi e hoʻolako a koi i nā manaʻolana.
3. GDP Eurozone (Q3) (10:00 UTC):

• YoY: Ka wānana: 0.9%, Mua: 0.6%.
• QoQ: Ka wānana: 0.4%, Mua: 0.2%.
  ʻOi aku ka ikaika ma mua o ka ulu ʻana o GDP e kākoʻo i ka EUR ma ka hōʻike ʻana i ka hoʻokele waiwai, ʻoiai ʻo ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali ke kaupaona ʻana i ke kālā.

1. Hana Hana Hana Hana Eurozone (MoM) (Sep) (10:00 UTC):
   Ka wānana: -1.3%, Mua: 1.8%. ʻO ka emi ʻana e hōʻailona i ka lohi ʻana i ka hana ʻoihana, hiki ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ka EUR.
2. ʻO nā moʻolelo hālāwai o nā kulekele kālā ECB (12:30 UTC):
   Hiki i nā minuke mai ka hālāwai kulekele hou o ka ECB ke hāʻawi i nā ʻike i ka manaʻo o ka panakō e pili ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana a me ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai, e hoʻohuli ana i ka manaʻo EUR.
3. Nā Koi Hana ʻole a me PPI (ʻOkakopa) (13:30 UTC):

• Ke hoʻomau nei i nā koi hana ʻole: Ka wānana: 1,880K, Mua: 1,892K.
• ʻO nā koi hana ʻole mua: Ka wānana: 224K, Mua: 221K.
• PPI kumu (MoM): Ka wānana: 0.3%, Mua: 0.2%.
• PPI (MoM): Ka wānana: 0.2%, Mua: 0.0%.
  ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o nā koi e hōʻike ana i kahi mākeke hana nāwaliwali, ʻoiai ʻo ka piʻi ʻana o ka PPI e hōʻailona i ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i ka inflationary, hiki ke hoʻopilikia i ke kulekele Fed a me ka USD.

1. Nā ʻAila ʻAila ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa (16:00 UTC):
   Ka wānana: 1.000M, Mua: 2.149M. ʻO kahi kūkulu ʻoi aku ka nui ma mua o ka manaʻo i manaʻo ʻia e hōʻike i ka makemake nāwaliwali, e kaupaona ana i nā kumukūʻai aila, aʻo ka huki ʻana e hōʻike ana i ka koi ikaika.
2. Nā ʻŌlelo ECB (Schnabel & Lagarde) (18:30 & 19:00 UTC):
   Hiki i nā ʻōlelo a nā luna ECB ke hoʻololi i nā manaʻolana no ke kulekele kālā Eurozone, e pili ana i ka EUR ma muli o ko lākou kūlana i ka hoʻonui a me ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai.
3. Nā ʻōlelo a ka Luna Hoʻokele Fed Powell a me ka lālā o FOMC Williams (20:00 & 21:15 UTC):
   Hiki i nā ʻōlelo a Powell a me Williams ke hāʻawi i nā ʻike koʻikoʻi i ka manaʻo o ka Fed e pili ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana a me ka uku uku. E kākoʻo ana nā ʻōlelo Hawkish i ka USD, ʻoiai ʻo nā kani dovish hiki ke kaumaha ma luna o ia.
4. GDP o Iapana (Q3) (23:50 UTC):
   • YoY: Mua: 2.9%.
   • QoQ: Ka wānana: 0.2%, Mua: 0.7%.
   • Papa kuhikuhi kumu kūʻai GDP (YoY): Ka wānana: 2.8%, Mua: 3.1%.
     ʻO ka ulu kiʻekiʻe e kākoʻo i ka JPY ma ka hōʻike ʻana i ka ikaika o ka hoʻokele waiwai, ʻoiai ʻo nā helu haʻahaʻa e hōʻailona ai i kahi lohi, hiki ke hoʻomāmā i ke kālā.

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Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

• ʻIkepili Hana Hana Australia:
  E kākoʻo ka ulu ʻoihana ikaika i ka AUD ma ka hōʻike ʻana i ke kūpaʻa o ka mākeke hana. Hiki ke kaumaha ma ka AUD ke emi ʻana o ka hana a i ʻole ke kiʻekiʻe o ka hana ʻole.
• Eurozone GDP & Hana Hana Hana:
  ʻO ka GDP ikaika a me ka ʻikepili hana e hōʻailona i ka hoʻokele waiwai Eurozone, e kākoʻo ana i ka EUR. Hiki ke kaupaona ʻia nā helu nāwaliwali ma ka EUR, ʻoi loa inā ʻaelike nā hana ʻoihana.
• Nā Koi Hana ʻole a me PPI ʻAmelika:
  ʻO nā koi ʻoi aku ka hana ʻole e hōʻike ana i ka palupalu o ka mākeke hana, hiki ke hōʻemi i ka hoʻopiʻi ʻana o ka USD. ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o ka PPI e hōʻailona i ka hoʻomau ʻana o ka hoʻonui ʻana, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD no ka mea hiki ke hōʻike i ke kulekele Fed ʻoi aku ka ikaika.
• Nā ʻŌlelo ECB & Fed (Lagarde, Schnabel, Powell, Williams):
  ʻO nā ʻōlelo Hawkish mai ka ECB a me nā luna Fed e kākoʻo i ka EUR a me USD ma o ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i nā manaʻolana politika paʻa, ʻoiai nā ʻōlelo dovish e hoʻemi i ka ikaika kālā.
• GDP o Iapana:
  ʻOi aku ka ikaika ma mua o ka ulu ʻana o GDP e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻokele waiwai, e kākoʻo ana i ka JPY. E hōʻike ana nā helu ulu haʻahaʻa i ka lohi o ka hoʻokele waiwai, hiki ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ka JPY.

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Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa

Ka uluʻana:
ʻO ke kiʻekiʻe, me nā hoʻokuʻu ʻikepili koʻikoʻi mai Australia, ka Eurozone, a me ka US, a me nā ʻōlelo koʻikoʻi mai nā luna ECB a me Fed e hoʻohuli i ka manaʻo i ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai a me nā kulekele kālā.

Helu hopena: 8/10, alakaʻi ʻia e ka ʻikepili hana, ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana o GDP, PPI, a me ke alakaʻi ʻana i ka panakō waena, e hoʻohālikelike i nā manaʻolana o ka mākeke no ka hoʻonui ʻana a me nā kulekele uku uku ma waena o nā ʻoihana nui.