Nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana 15 Nowemapa 2024

Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)	Moku'āina	nui	hanana	Forecast	Previous
02:00		2 puan	Hoʻokomo waiwai paʻa (YoY) (ʻOkakopa)	3.5%	3.4%
02:00		2 puan	Hana Hana Hana (YoY) (ʻOkakopa)	5.5%	5.4%
02:00		2 puan	Hana Hana ʻOihana Pākē YTD (YoY) (ʻOkakopa)	---	5.8%
02:00		2 puan	Pākē helu hana ʻole (ʻOkakopa)	5.1%	5.1%
02:00		2 puan	NBS Press Conference	---	---
04:30		2 puan	Hana Hana Hana (MoM) (Sep)	1.4%	1.4%
10:00		2 puan	Nā wānana waiwai o EU	---	---
10:00		2 puan	Hui Eurogroup	---	---
11:30		2 puan	ʻŌlelo ʻo ECB McCaul	---	---
13:30		3 puan	Kūʻai Kūʻai Nui (MoM) (ʻOkakopa)	0.3%	0.5%
13:30		2 puan	Papa kuhikuhi kumu kūʻai no waho aku (MoM) (ʻOkakopa)	-0.1%	-0.7%
13:30		2 puan	Papa kuhikuhi kumu kūʻai lawe mai (MoM) (ʻOkakopa)	-0.1%	-0.4%
13:30		2 puan	NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Nov)	-0.30	-11.90
13:30		2 puan	Mana Kūʻai Kūʻai (MoM) (ʻOkakopa)	---	0.7%
13:30		3 puan	Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻai (MoM) (ʻOkakopa)	0.3%	0.4%
14:15		2 puan	Hana Hana Hana (MoM) (ʻOkakopa)	-0.3%	-0.3%
14:15		2 puan	Hana Hana Hana (YoY) (ʻOkakopa)	---	-0.64%
15:00		2 puan	Nā Papahana Pāʻoihana (MoM) (Sep)	0.2%	0.3%
15:00		2 puan	Nā Waiwai Kūʻai Kūʻai Ex Auto (Sep)	0.1%	0.1%
15:00		2 puan	ʻŌlelo ʻo ECB's Lane	---	---
18:00		2 puan	ʻO Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)	2.5%	2.5%
18:00		2 puan	Ka helu ʻana o ka ʻaila ʻaila ʻo US Baker Hughes	---	479
18:00		2 puan	Hui Pū ʻia ʻo Baker Hughes ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa	---	585
18:15		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Williams Member FOMC	---	---
20:30		2 puan	Nā kūlana net speculative CFTC Oil Crude	---	196.1K
20:30		2 puan	CFTC Gold speculative net kūlana	---	255.3K
20:30		2 puan	ʻO CFTC Nasdaq 100 mau kūlana kikoʻī	---	16.1K
20:30		2 puan	CFTC S&P 500 mau kūlana kikoʻī kikoʻī	---	113.4K
20:30		2 puan	Nā kūlana net speculative CFTC AUD	---	31.0K
20:30		2 puan	CFTC JPY nā kūlana net speculative	---	-44.2K
20:30		2 puan	Nā kūlana net speculative CFTC EUR	---	-21.7K

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Nowemapa 15, 2024

1. ʻIkepili Waiwai Kina (02:00 UTC):

• Hoʻokomo waiwai paʻa (YoY) (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 3.5%, Mua: 3.4%.
• Hana Hana Hana (YoY) (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 5.5%, Mua: 5.4%.
• Hana Hana ʻOihana YTD (YoY) (ʻOkakopa): Mua: 5.8%.
• Ka helu hana ʻole (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 5.1%, Mua: 5.1%.
  ʻO ka hoʻokomo waiwai paʻa kiʻekiʻe a me ka hana ʻoihana e hōʻike i ka ulu waiwai, e kākoʻo ana i ka CNY. He mea koʻikoʻi ka helu hana ʻole no ka loiloi ʻana i ke kūpaʻa waiwai o Kina.

1. ʻOihana Hana Hana Iapana (MoM) (Sep) (04:30 UTC):
   Ka wānana: 1.4%, Mua: 1.4%. ʻO ka ulu ʻana o nā hōʻailona hana i hoʻonui i ka hana ʻoihana, e kākoʻo ana i ka JPY.
2. Nā wānana waiwai a me nā hui Eurogroup (10:00 UTC):
   Hiki i nā wānana hoʻokele waiwai o ka EU a me nā hālāwai ma waena o nā alakaʻi Eurogroup ke hoʻoikaika i ka manaʻo o ka EUR ma muli o ka ulu ʻana, nā kuhi hoʻonui, a i ʻole nā ​​​​hoʻoponopono pili kālā.
3. ʻŌlelo ʻo ECB McCaul (11:30 UTC):
   ʻO nā manaʻo mai ka ECB Supervisory Board Member Edouard Fernandez-Bollo McCaul hiki ke hoʻopili i ka EUR ma muli o kāna mau manaʻo i ke kūpaʻa kālā a me ka hoʻonui.
4. ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa & Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻai (MoM) (ʻOkakopa) (13:30 UTC):

• Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻai: Ka wānana: 0.3%, Mua: 0.5%.
• Kūʻai kūʻai: Ka wānana: 0.3%, Mua: 0.4%.
  Ke kākoʻo nei ka ulu kūʻai kūʻai kūʻai ikaika i ka USD ma ka hōʻike ʻana i ka makemake o nā mea kūʻai aku, ʻoiai nā helu nāwaliwali e hiki ke hōʻike i ka hoʻokele lohi.

1. US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Nov) (13:30 UTC):
   Ka wānana: -0.30, Mua: -11.90. ʻO kahi helu maikaʻi ʻole a maikaʻi paha e hōʻailona i ka holomua o ka hana ʻana, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD.
2. Hana Hana Hana ʻAmelika (MoM & YoY) (ʻOkakopa) (14:15 UTC):

• MoM: Ka wānana: -0.3%, Mua: -0.3%.
• YoY: Mua: -0.64%.
  E hōʻike ana nā hōʻemi i ka hana nāwaliwali, hiki ke kaupaona ʻia ma ka USD.

1. ʻIkepili ʻoihana a me nā mea kūʻai kūʻai kūʻai US (MoM) (15:00 UTC):

• Nā Papahana Pāʻoihana (MoM): Ka wānana: 0.2%, Mua: 0.3%.
• Nā Papahana Kūʻai Kūʻai Ex Auto (MoM): Ka wānana: 0.1%, Mua: 0.1%.
  Hōʻike ka piʻi ʻana o nā mea waiwai i ke koi nāwaliwali, ʻoiai nā helu kūpaʻa a haʻahaʻa paha e kākoʻo i ka USD ma ka hōʻike ʻana i ka koi ikaika.

1. ʻŌlelo ke Alanui ECB (15:00 UTC):
   ʻO nā ʻōlelo a ka ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane e pili ana i ka hoʻokele waiwai a i ʻole ke kulekele kālā hiki ke hoʻololi i ka EUR.
2. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4) (18:00 UTC):
   Ka wānana: 2.5%, Mua: 2.5%. ʻO nā mea hou i kēia wānana GDP manawa maoli e pili ana i nā manaʻolana USD e pili ana i ka ikaika waiwai o ʻAmelika.
3. Ka helu ʻana o US Baker Hughes Rig (18:00 UTC):
   Hoʻopaʻa i ka hana ʻimi ʻaila a me ke kinoea. Hōʻike ka piʻi ʻana o ka rig i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hana, hiki ke kaupaona ʻia i nā kumukūʻai aila.
4. Nā Kūlana Kūlana Kūlana CFTC (20:30 UTC):
   Hiki i nā ʻikepili e pili ana i ka hoʻonohonoho ʻana i nā waiwai nui, nā kaulike, a me nā kālā ke hoʻoikaika i ka manaʻo o ka mākeke.

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Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

• ʻIkepili Waiwai Kina:
  ʻO ka ʻoihana kiʻekiʻe a me ka hoʻokomo waiwai paʻa e hōʻike ana i ka ulu ʻana, kākoʻo i ka manaʻo pilikia a me nā kālā pili i nā waiwai. ʻO ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali-ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia e hōʻailona i ka lohi ʻana, hiki ke hoʻoemi i ka manaʻo o ka mākeke honua.
• ʻOihana Hana Hana Iapana:
  ʻO ka ulu ʻana o ka hana maikaʻi e hōʻailona i ka hoʻokele waiwai, e kākoʻo ana i ka JPY. Hiki i nā ʻikepili nāwaliwali ke hōʻike i nā pilikia hoʻokele waiwai, ke kaupaona nei i ke kālā.
• Nā wānana hoʻokele waiwai a me nā ʻōlelo ECB:
  ʻO nā wānana maikaʻi a me nā ʻōlelo hawkish mai nā luna ECB e kākoʻo i ka EUR ma ka hōʻike ʻana i ke kūpaʻa a me ka paʻa ʻana. Hiki ke kaupaona ʻia ka ʻōlelo Dovish a i ʻole ka makaʻala ma ka EUR.
• Nā Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻai a me nā Hana Hana Hana:
  ʻO ke kūʻai kūʻai kūʻai ikaika a me ka ʻikepili hana hoʻomaikaʻi e kākoʻo i ka USD, e hōʻike ana i ke kūpaʻa koi. ʻO ka emi ʻana o ka hana ʻana a i ʻole ke kūʻai ʻana e hōʻike i ka hoʻoilo ʻana i ka hoʻokele waiwai, hiki ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ka USD.
• Ka helu ʻana o US Baker Hughes Rig & CFTC kūlana manaʻo manaʻo:
  ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o nā helu rig hiki ke kaupaona i nā kumukūʻai aila ma ka hōʻailona ʻana i ka lako kiʻekiʻe. Hāʻawi nā kūlana speculative i nā ʻike i ka manaʻo o ka mākeke no nā waiwai, nā kālā, a me nā helu.

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Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa

Ka uluʻana:
Kiʻekiʻe, me ka mākaʻikaʻi mākeke i ka ʻikepili waiwai mai Kina, Iapana, a me ka US, me nā mea hou mai nā luna ECB a me ka Eurogroup. ʻO nā kūʻai kūʻai kūʻai US, ka hana ʻenehana, a me ke kūlana speculative e hoʻopili pū i ka manaʻo pilikia a me nā mākeke kālā.

Helu hopena: 7/10, ma muli o ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana i nā ʻikepili koʻikoʻi a me nā ʻoihana, nā manaʻo hoʻokele waiwai, a me nā ʻōlelo a ka panakō waena e pili ana i nā manaʻolana no ka ulu ʻana, ka hoʻonui ʻana, a me nā kulekele kālā ma waena o nā ʻoihana nui.