Jeremy Oles
E kaʻana!
| Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0) | Moku'āina | nui | Event | | Previous |
| 07:30 |  | 2 points | Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Elderson o ECB | ---- | ---- |
| 09:00 | | 2 points | CPI kumu (YoY) (Mei) | 2.3% | 2.7% |
| 09:00 | | 2 points | CPI (MoM) (Mei) | 0.0% | 0.6% |
| 09:00 | | 3 points | CPI (YoY) (Mei) | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| 12:30 |  | 2 points | Nā Palapala Hale (Mei) | 1.430M | 1.422M |
| 12:30 | | 2 points | Ke hoʻomau nei i nā koi hana ʻole | ---- | 1,956K |
| 12:30 | | 2 points | Hoʻomaka ka hale (Mei) | 1.360M | 1.361M |
| 12:30 | | 2 points | Hoʻomaka Hale (MoM) (Mei) | ---- | 1.6% |
| 12:30 | | 3 points | Nā hoʻopiʻi koi Jobless Initial | ---- | 248K |
| 14:30 | | 3 points | Na Waiwai Aila | ---- | -3.644M |
| 14:30 | | 2 points | Cushing Oil Crude Inventory | ---- | -0.403M |
| 15:00 | | 2 points | ʻŌlelo ʻo ECB's Lane | ---- | ---- |
| 15:30 | | 2 points | ʻO Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2) | ---- | ---- |
| 18:00 | | 2 points | Kuhikuhi Uku Uunauna – Makahiki 1 (Q2) | ---- | 3.4% |
| 18:00 | | 2 points | Kuhikuhi Uku Uunauna – Makahiki 2 (Q2) | ---- | 3.1% |
| 18:00 | | 2 points | Kuhikuhi Uku Uunauna – I kēia manawa (Q2) | ---- | 3.9% |
| 18:00 | | 2 points | Manaʻo Uku Uunauna – ʻOi aku ka lōʻihi (Q2) | ---- | 3.0% |
| 18:00 | | 3 points | Hoʻolālā Waiwai FOMC | ---- | ---- |
| 18:00 | | 3 points | ʻŌlelo FOMC | ---- | ---- |
| 18:00 | | 3 points | ʻO ka hoʻoholo o ka uku panee Fed | 4.50% | 4.50% |
| 18:00 | | 2 points | Ua ʻōlelo ʻo De Guindos o ECB | ---- | ---- |
| 18:30 | | 3 points | FOMC Press Conference | ---- | ---- |
| 20:00 | | 2 points | Nā Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻokoʻa Kūʻokoʻa TIC (ʻApelila) | ---- | 161.8B |
| 22:45 |  | 2 points | GDP (QoQ) (Q1) | 0.7% | 0.7% |
Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Iune 18, 2025
ʻO ka Eurozone
1. ECB's Elderson, Lane, and De Guindos Speak — 07:30, 15:00, 18:00 UTC
- Ka hopena makeke:
- ʻO ka hoʻololi ʻana i ka leo ma hope o ka ʻoki ʻana o ka ECB i kēia manawa e hoʻololi EUR, nā hua paʻa, a me ka manaʻo pilikia.
- Hiki i nā hōʻailona Hawkish ke hoʻoikaika i ka EUR; Hiki i nā ʻōlelo dovish ke koi hou aku i ka euro.
2. CPI & Core CPI (Mei) — 09:00 UTC
- CPI kumu (YoY): Ka wānana 2.3% | 2.7% mua
- CPI (YoY): Ka wānana 1.9% | 1.9% mua
- CPI (MoM): Ka wānana 0.0% | 0.6% mua
- Ka hopena makeke:
- ʻO ka hāʻule ʻana o ka inflation kumu e hoʻoikaika i nā manaʻolana e hoʻomau ka ECB ala hele.
- Hiki i ka heluhelu wela ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia E hoʻi hou ka EUR a piʻi aʻe nā hua.
ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa
3. Hoʻomaka hale a me nā palapala ʻae kūkulu hale (Mei) — 12:30 UTC
- Nā ʻae kūkulu hale: Ka wānana 1.430M | Ma mua 1.422M
- Hoʻomaka ka hale: Ka wānana 1.360M | Ma mua 1.361M
- Ka hopena makeke:
- Paʻa i nā kākoʻo hale moʻolelo ulu haʻahaʻa.
- Hiki i nā helu nāwaliwali ke hoʻoulu i nā hopohopo e pili ana ka emi ʻana o ka ʻāpana hale, kākoʻo paha ʻOki hānai.
4. Nā Koi Hana ʻole — 12:30 UTC
- Nā koi mua: Ma mua 248K
- Ke hoʻomau nei i nā koi: 1.956M mua
- Ka hopena makeke:
- E kākoʻo ana ka hoʻopalupalu ʻana o ka mākeke hana Hoʻokiʻekiʻe ka Fed, ʻoiai ʻoi aku ka ikaika o ka ʻikepili hiki ke kaupalena i nā manaʻolana dovish.
5. Na Waiwai Aila — 14:30 UTC
- Previous: -3.644M
6. Cushing Inventories — 14:30 UTC
- Previous: -0.403M
- Ka hopena makeke:
- Hiki ke huki nui kākoʻo i nā kumukūʻai aila, e hoʻonui ana i nā manaʻo hoʻonui a me ka hoʻoikaika ʻana waihona ʻoihana ikehu.
7. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2) - 15:30 UTC
- Ka hopena makeke:
- Mālama ʻia kēlā me kēia hoʻoponopono i luna pilikia haahaa ka ulu ana, e kaupalena ana i ka Fed easing expectations.
8. ʻO ka hoʻoholo ʻana o ka uku panee FOMC, ka ʻōlelo a me nā manaʻo - 18:00 UTC
- Ka helu kuhi o nā kālā Fed: Ka wānana 4.50% | 4.50% mua
- Kuhikuhi Uku Ui Ui (Dot Plot):
- Makahiki 1: 3.4% i hala
- Makahiki 2: 3.1% i hala
- I kēia manawa: 3.9% mua
- Holo lōʻihi: 3.0% mua
- Ka hopena makeke:
- Manaʻo nui honua. ʻAʻohe loli i manaʻo ʻia, akā ʻo nā mea hou i nā projections a me nā kiko kiko e hoʻohālike i ka 2025 ala ala.
- Hiki ke hui pū kekahi ʻāpana kiko hawkish USD a me nā hua, puʻe kaulike.
- Hiki i nā kuhi Dovish ke hoʻoulu i nā hui ikaika nā waiwai pilikia a me nā mea paʻa.
9. FOMC Press Conference — 18:30 UTC
- Ka hopena makeke:
- E hoʻoholo ka leo o Powell USD pōkole a me ke kuhikuhi waiwai waiwai ma hope o nā kuhi.
10. Nā Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻē Kūʻē TIC (ʻApelila) — 20:00 UTC
- Previous: 161.8B
- Ka hopena makeke:
- Ke kākoʻo nei ke koi ikaika o nā ʻāina ʻē no nā waiwai ʻAmelika i ka USD a me nā mākeke pili.
Aotearoa
11. GDP (QoQ) (Q1) — 22:45 UTC
- Ka wānana: 0.7% Previous: 0.7%
- Ka hopena makeke:
- He hala paha kaomi NZD a hoʻonui i ka makaʻu o ka hoʻokele waiwai.
- Hiki ke paʻi ikaika kākoʻo iā NZD a hoʻomaikaʻi i ka manaʻo pilikia kūloko.
Ka Hoʻopono Makeke
- ʻO kēia kekahi o ka nā lā hopena o ka mahina.
- Hoʻoholo FOMC, Dot Plot, a me Powell's Conference e hoʻonoho i ka leo pilikia honua.
- ʻO ka Eurozone ʻO CPI e hoʻololi i nā manaʻolana ECB a kuhikuhi EUR.
- Hiki ke ho'okele ka hale noho o US, ka 'ikepili hana, a me ka 'aila ʻO ka USD no ka wā pōkole, ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana, a me nā neʻe kaulike.
- GDP o Aotearoa hoʻopuni i ka volatility no Makeke o Asia a me ka Pakipika.
Helu Ka hopena: 10/10
Kuhi nui:
E nānā nā mākeke honua āpau i ka ʻO ka hōʻano hou o Fed a me ka hālāwai kūkā o Powell, ka mea e kuhikuhi i ka neʻe ʻana i ka wā kokoke USD, equities, Treasuries, gula, a me nā waiwai pilikia ma ka honua holoʻokoʻa. Hāʻawi kēia lā pilikia nui loa ma kahi kokoke nā papa waiwai a pau.
