Nā hanana hoʻokele waiwai e hiki mai ana 18 Kepakemapa 2024

Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)	Moku'āina	nui	hanana	Forecast	Previous
09:00		2 puan	CPI kumu (YoY) (ʻAukake)	2.8%	2.8%
09:00		2 puan	CPI (MoM) (ʻAukake)	0.2%	0.0%
09:00		3 puan	CPI (YoY) (ʻAukake)	2.2%	2.2%
12:00		2 puan	ʻŌlelo ʻo ECB McCaul	---	---
12:30		2 puan	Nā Palapala Hale (ʻAukake)	1.410M	1.406M
12:30		2 puan	Hoʻomaka Hale (MoM) (ʻAukake)	---	-6.8%
12:30		2 puan	Hoʻomaka Hale (ʻAukake)	1.310M	1.238M
14:30		3 puan	ʻO Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)	---	---
14:30		2 puan	Na Waiwai Aila	---	0.833M
14:30		2 puan	Cushing Oil Crude Inventory	---	-1.704M
18:00		2 puan	Kuhikuhi Uku Uunauna – Makahiki 1 (Q3)	---	4.1%
18:00		2 puan	Kuhikuhi Uku Uunauna – Makahiki 2 (Q3)	---	3.1%
18:00		2 puan	Kuhikuhi Uku Uunauna – 3 makahiki (Q1)	---	2.9%
18:00		2 puan	Kuhikuhi Uku Uunauna – I kēia manawa (Q3)	---	5.1%
18:00		2 puan	Manaʻo Uku Uunauna – ʻOi aku ka lōʻihi (Q3)	---	2.8%
18:00		3 puan	Hoʻolālā Waiwai FOMC	---	---
18:00		3 puan	ʻŌlelo FOMC	---	---
18:00		3 puan	ʻO ka hoʻoholo o ka uku panee Fed	5.25%	5.50%
18:30		3 puan	FOMC Press Conference	---	---
20:00		2 puan	Nā Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻē Kūʻē Kūʻē TIC (Iulai)	---	96.1B
22:45		2 puan	Moʻokāki o kēia manawa (YoY) (Q2)	---	-27.64B
22:45		2 puan	GDP (QoQ) (Q2)	-0.4%	0.2%

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Kepakemapa 18, 2024

1. Eurozone Core CPI (YoY) (ʻAukake) (09:00 UTC): ʻO ka hoʻololi ʻana o ka makahiki ma mua o ka helu kumu kūʻai kumu kūʻai, ʻaʻole i komo i ka meaʻai a me ka ikehu. Ka wānana: + 2.8%, Mua: + 2.8%.
2. Eurozone CPI (MoM) (ʻAukake) (09:00 UTC): Hoʻololi i kēlā me kēia mahina i ka helu helu kumu kūʻai holoʻokoʻa. Ka wānana: + 0.2%, Mua: 0.0%.
3. Eurozone CPI (YoY) (ʻAukake) (09:00 UTC): Hoʻololi makahiki i ka CPI holoʻokoʻa. Ka wānana: + 2.2%, Mua: + 2.2%.
4. ʻŌlelo ʻo ECB McCaul (12:00 UTC): ʻO nā ʻōlelo a ka Luna Hoʻokele Manaʻo ECB ʻo McCaul, hiki ke kamaʻilio ʻana i ke kulekele hoʻokele waiwai a i ʻole kālā.
5. Nā Palapala Hana Hale ʻAmelika (ʻAukake) (12:30 UTC): Ka helu o nā palapala ʻae hale hou i hoʻopuka ʻia. Ka wānana: 1.410M, Mua: 1.406M.
6. Hoʻomaka ka hale noho o ʻAmelika (MoM) (ʻAukake) (12:30 UTC): Hoʻomaka ka hoʻololi o ka mahina i ka hale. Mua: -6.8%.
7. Hoʻomaka ka hale noho ʻAmelika (ʻAukake) (12:30 UTC): Ua hoʻomaka ka nui o nā hana kūkulu hale hou. Ka wānana: 1.310M, Mua: 1.238M.
8. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) (14:30 UTC): Manaʻo manawa maoli no ka ulu ʻana o US GDP no Q3.
9. Nā ʻAila ʻAila ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa (14:30 UTC): Hoʻololi i kēlā me kēia pule i nā waihona ʻaila ʻaila. Mua: +0.833M.
10. Nā ʻAila ʻAila Cushing US (14:30 UTC): ʻO ka hoʻololi ʻana i kēlā me kēia pule i nā waihona aila ʻaila ma Cushing, Oklahoma hale mālama. Mua: -1.704M.
11. Nā Kuhikuhi Uku Uunaele Fed (18:00 UTC): Nā kuhi no ka uku panee e hiki mai ana ma luna o 1 makahiki, 2 makahiki, 3 makahiki, a ʻoi aku ka lōʻihi, e pili ana i ka manaʻo hoʻokele waiwai o ka Federal Reserve.
    • Kuhikuhi Makahiki 1 (Q3): Mua: 4.1%
    • Manaʻo Makahiki 2 (Q3): Mua: 3.1%
    • Kuhikuhi Makahiki 3 (Q3): Mua: 2.9%
    • Kuhikuhi Uku o kēia manawa (Q3): Mua: 5.1%
    • ʻO ka manaʻo no ka manawa lōʻihi (Q3): Mua: 2.8%.
12. Nā Manaʻo Waiwai FOMC (18:00 UTC): Nā mea hou e pili ana i nā wānana a ka Fed no ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai, ka nele i ka hana, a me ka hoʻonui kālā.
13. ʻŌlelo FOMC (18:00 UTC): ʻO ka ʻōlelo a ka Federal Reserve, e hāʻawi ana i nā ʻike i ke kulekele kālā.
14. ʻO ka hoʻoholo ʻana i ka uku ukupanee Fed (18:00 UTC): ʻO ka hoʻoholo no ka uku kālā federal. Ka wānana: 5.25%, Mua: 5.50%.
15. FOMC Press Conference (18:30 UTC): E kūkākūkā ʻo Fed Chair Jerome Powell i ke kumu o ka hoʻoholo ʻana i ke kulekele kālā a ka Fed.
16. Nā Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻokoʻa Kūʻokoʻa US TIC (Iulai) (20:00 UTC): Ke ana i ka noi haole no nā palekana US no ka wā lōʻihi. Mua: $96.1B.
17. Moʻokāki o Aotearoa (YoY) (Q2) (22:45 UTC): Hoʻololi makahiki i ke koena moʻohelu kālā o Aotearoa. Mua: -27.64B.
18. GDP o Aotearoa (QoQ) (Q2) (22:45 UTC): ʻO ka hoʻololi hapahā o ka GDP o Aotearoa. Ka wānana: -0.4%, Mua: + 0.2%.

Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

• CPI Eurozone: Kākoʻo ka piʻi ʻana a paʻa paha i ka EUR, e hōʻike ana i ke kūpaʻa kumu kūʻai ma ka ʻāina. Hiki i ka CPI haʻahaʻa ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia ke hāpai i nā hopohopo e pili ana i ka lohi ʻana i ka ulu waiwai.
• ʻIkepili Hale ʻAmelika (Nā Palapala Hale a Hoʻomaka Hale): Hoʻomaka ka emi ʻana o ka hale a i ʻole nā ​​​​ʻae ʻana e hōʻailona i ka hana ʻoihana nāwaliwali i ka ʻoihana waiwai, hiki ke kaupaona ʻia ma USD. E kākoʻo ka rebound i ka USD a hōʻike i ka hoʻokele waiwai.
• ʻO ka ʻōlelo FOMC, ka hoʻoholo ʻana i ka uku ukupanee, a me nā manaʻo: He mea koʻikoʻi nā hoʻoholo a ka Fed a me ka hoʻokele waiwai no ka USD a me nā mākeke honua. Inā hoʻomau nā hōʻailona Fed, hiki ke hoʻoikaika i ka USD. Eia naʻe, hiki i nā hōʻailona dovish ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ka USD a hāpai i nā kaulike.
• ʻO nā waihona ʻaila ʻaila US: Hiki i ka piʻi ʻana o nā waihona waiwai ke hoʻohaʻahaʻa i nā kumukūʻai aila, ʻoiai hiki i ka emi ʻana ke kākoʻo i nā kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe, e hoʻopilikia ana i nā waihona ikehu a me nā kālā pili waiwai e like me CAD.
• GDP a me ka moʻokāki o kēia manawa: ʻO ka emi ʻana o ka GDP a i ʻole ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hapa kālā o kēia manawa hiki ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ka NZD, e hōʻailona ana i ka emi ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai.

Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa

• Ka uluʻana: ʻO ke kiʻekiʻe, i alakaʻi ʻia e ka Fed a me nā hoʻoholo hoʻoholo, a me ka ʻikepili hale a me ka piʻi ʻana o ka Eurozone.
• Helu hopena: 9/10, me ka mana ikaika no ka neʻe ʻana o ka mākeke ma waena o nā kaulike, nā kālā, nā paʻa, a me nā waiwai.