Nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana 19 Nowemapa 2024

Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)	Moku'āina	nui	hanana	Forecast	Previous
00:30		2 puan	Nā Minute Halawai RBA	---	---
08:45		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Elderson o ECB	---	---
10:00		2 puan	CPI kumu (YoY) (ʻOkakopa)	2.7%	2.7%
10:00		3 puan	CPI (YoY) (ʻOkakopa)	2.0%	2.0%
10:00		2 puan	CPI (MoM) (ʻOkakopa)	0.3%	-0.1%
13:30		2 puan	Nā Palapala Hale (ʻOkakopa)	1.440M	1.425M
13:30		2 puan	Hoʻomaka Hale (MoM) (ʻOkakopa)	---	-0.5%
13:30		2 puan	Hoʻomaka Hale (ʻOkakopa)	1.340M	1.354M
16:30		2 puan	ʻO Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)	2.5%	2.5%
21:30		2 puan	Kahua Aila ʻAila i kēlā me kēia pule API	---	-0.777M
23:50		2 puan	Koena Kalepa Hooponopono	-0.15T	-0.19T
23:50		2 puan	Hoʻokuʻu aku (YoY) (ʻOkakopa)	2.2%	-1.7%
23:50		2 puan	Kauna Kūʻai (ʻOkakopa)	-360.4B	-294.1B

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Nowemapa 19, 2024

1. Nā minuke Halawai RBA (00:30 UTC):
   Hāʻawi i nā kikoʻī o nā kūkākūkā kulekele o ka Reserve Bank of Australia, e hāʻawi ana i nā ʻike i ka manaʻo o ka panakō a me nā hana kulekele kālā e hiki mai ana. Kākoʻo ka leo Hawkish i ka AUD, ʻoiai ʻo ka manaʻo ʻōlelo dovish ke kaupaona ʻia.
2. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Elderson a ECB (08:45 UTC):
   Hiki i ka Luna Hoʻokele o ka ECB ʻo Frank Elderson ke kūkākūkā i ke kūpaʻa kālā a me nā kūlana waiwai ma ka Eurozone. Hiki i kēlā me kēia leo hawkish ke kākoʻo i ka EUR, ʻoiai nā ʻōlelo dovish hiki ke hoʻohaumia iā ia.
3. ʻIkepili CPI Eurozone (10:00 UTC):

• CPI kumu (YoY) (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 2.7%, Mua: 2.7%.
• CPI (YoY) (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 2.0%, Mua: 2.0%.
• CPI (MoM) (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 0.3%, Mua: -0.1%.
  E kākoʻo nā helu CPI kūpaʻa a piʻi paha i ka EUR ma ka hōʻike ʻana i ka hoʻonui mau ʻana, ʻoiai nā helu nāwaliwali-ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia e hiki ke kaupaona i ke kālā.

1. Nā ʻae kūkulu hale a me ka hoʻomaka ʻana o nā hale (13:30 UTC):

• Nā ʻae kūkulu hale (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 1.440M, Mua: 1.425M.
• Hoʻomaka Hale (MoM) (ʻOkakopa): Mua: -0.5%.
• Hoʻomaka ka hale (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 1.340M, Mua: 1.354M.
  ʻO nā palapala ʻae kūkulu hale a i ʻole ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka hale e hōʻike i ke kūpaʻa i ka mākeke hale o US, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD. Hiki i nā ʻikepili nāwaliwali ke hōʻailona i ka lohi ʻana i ka hana waiwai, ke kaupaona ʻana i ke kālā.

1. Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4) (16:30 UTC):
   Ka wānana o kēia manawa: 2.5%. Hiki i nā mea hou i kēia kuhi GDP manawa maoli ke hoʻoikaika i ka manaʻo USD, ʻoiai inā hōʻailona nā hoʻololi i ka ulu ikaika a nāwaliwali paha.
2. Kahua ʻAila ʻAila ʻAla I kēlā me kēia pule (21:30 UTC):
   Ana i nā hoʻololi o kēlā me kēia pule i nā waihona ʻaila ʻaila ʻAmelika. Mua: -0.777M. ʻO ka hāʻule ʻana e hōʻike ana i ka koi ikaika, e kākoʻo ana i nā kumukūʻai aila, ʻoiai ke kūkulu ʻia e hōʻike ana i nā koi nāwaliwali, hiki ke koi i nā kumukūʻai.
3. ʻIkepili Kalepa ʻo Iapana (23:50 UTC):

• Koena Kālepa i hoʻoponopono ʻia (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: -0.15T, Mua: -0.19T.
• Hoʻokuʻu aku (YoY) (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 2.2%, Mua: -1.7%.
• Kaulike kālepa (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: -360.4B, Mua: -294.1B.
  ʻO ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i nā helu kālepa a i ʻole ka piʻi ʻana o ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana e hōʻailona i ka ikaika waiwai, e kākoʻo ana i ka JPY. Hiki ke kaumaha ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali i ke kālā.

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Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

• Nā minuke hālāwai RBA:
  E kākoʻo ka leo hawkish i ka AUD, ʻoiai inā e hōʻike ana nā minuke i ka hopohopo e pili ana i ka piʻi ʻana a i ʻole ka piʻi nui ʻana. Hiki i nā hōʻailona Dovish ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ka AUD.
• ʻIkepili CPI Eurozone & ʻŌlelo Elderson ECB:
  ʻO nā helu CPI kūpaʻa a kiʻekiʻe paha ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia e hoʻoikaika i ka pono o ke kulekele kālā paʻa, e kākoʻo ana i ka EUR. Hiki i nā helu CPI haʻahaʻa a i ʻole nā ​​ʻōlelo dovish mai Elderson ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ka EUR.
• ʻIkepili Hale ʻAmelika:
  ʻO nā ʻae kūkulu hale ikaika a i ʻole nā ​​​​hoʻomaka hale e hōʻike i ke kūpaʻa ʻana i ka mākeke hale o US, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD. Hiki i nā helu nāwaliwali ke hōʻailona i ka lohi o ka hoʻokele waiwai, ke kaupaona ʻana i ke kālā.
• ʻIkepili kālepa Iapana:
  ʻO ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i nā kaulike kālepa a i ʻole ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻopuka maikaʻi e hōʻailona i ka hoʻihoʻi hou ʻana i ka ʻāpana o waho o Iapana, e kākoʻo ana i ka JPY. Hōʻike ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali i nā pilikia e hoʻomau nei, hiki ke hoʻopalupalu i ke kālā.
• Kahua ʻaila ʻaila API:
  E kākoʻo ka huki ʻana i nā kumukūʻai aila a me nā kālā pili i nā waiwai, ʻoiai ke kūkulu ʻia e hōʻailona i ka makemake nāwaliwali, hiki ke kaupaona ʻia i nā kumukūʻai aila.

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Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa

Ka uluʻana:
Maikaʻi, me ka manaʻo nui i ka ʻikepili inflation Eurozone, nā hōʻailona mākeke hale hale US, a me nā helu kālepa o Iapana. E hoʻopili pū ka naʻau o ka mākeke i nā minuke hālāwai RBA a me ka ikaika o ka mākeke ikehu.

Helu hopena: 6/10, alakaʻi ʻia e ka hale, ka hoʻonui ʻana, a me ka ʻikepili kālepa mai nā ʻoihana waiwai nui e hoʻohālikelike i ka manaʻo pōkole no nā kālā a me nā waiwai.