Jeremy Oles
E kaʻana!
| Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0) | Moku'āina | nui | hanana | Forecast | Previous |
| 00:30 |  | 2 puan | ʻAe ʻia ka hale (MoM) (ʻOkakopa) | 1.2% | 4.4% |
| 00:30 | | 2 puan | ʻO ka loaʻa kālā o ka hui (QoQ) (Q3) | 0.6% | -5.3% |
| 01:30 | | 2 puan | Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻai (MoM) (ʻOkakopa) | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 01:45 |  | 2 puan | Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Nov) | 50.6 | 50.3 |
| 09:00 |  | 2 puan | HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Nov) | 45.2 | 46.0 |
| 10:00 | | 2 puan | Ua ʻōlelo ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde | --- | --- |
| 10:00 | | 2 puan | Ka helu hana ʻole (ʻOkakopa) | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| 14:45 |  | 3 puan | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Nov) | 48.8 | 48.5 |
| 15:00 | | 2 puan | Hoʻolilo ʻia no ke kūkulu ʻana (MoM) (ʻOkakopa) | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 15:00 | | 2 puan | ISM Manufacturing Employment (Nov) | --- | 44.4 |
| 15:00 | | 3 puan | ISM Manufacturing PMI (Nov) | 47.7 | 46.5 |
| 15:00 | | 3 puan | Nā Kumu Hana Hana ISM (Nov) | 55.2 | 54.8 |
| 20:15 | | 2 puan | ʻŌlelo ʻo Fed Waller | --- | --- |
| 20:30 | | 2 puan | Nā kūlana net speculative CFTC Oil Crude | --- | 193.9K |
| 20:30 | | 2 puan | CFTC Gold speculative net kūlana | --- | 234.4K |
| 20:30 | | 2 puan | ʻO CFTC Nasdaq 100 mau kūlana kikoʻī | --- | 19.8K |
| 20:30 | | 2 puan | CFTC S&P 500 mau kūlana kikoʻī kikoʻī | --- | 34.9K |
| 20:30 | | 2 puan | Nā kūlana net speculative CFTC AUD | --- | 31.6K |
| 20:30 |  | 2 puan | CFTC JPY nā kūlana net speculative | --- | -46.9K |
| 20:30 | | 2 puan | Nā kūlana net speculative CFTC EUR | --- | -42.6K |
| 21:30 | | 2 puan | Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Williams Member FOMC | --- | --- |
Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Dekemaba 2, 2024
- ʻIkepili Waiwai o Australia (00:30–01:30 UTC):
- ʻAe ʻia ka hale (MoM) (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 1.2%, Mua: 4.4%.
Hoʻololi nā ana i ka helu o nā hale kūkulu hou i ʻāpono ʻia. Hiki ke kaupaona ʻia kahi helu haʻahaʻa ma ka AUD, ʻoiai ʻo nā ʻae ikaika e hōʻailona i ke kūpaʻa i ka ʻoihana kūkulu. - ʻO ka loaʻa kālā o ka hui (QoQ) (Q3): Ka wānana: 0.6%, Mua: -5.3%.
Hōʻike i ka loaʻa kālā o ka ʻoihana. E kākoʻo ka rebound i ka AUD, e hōʻike ana i ka holomua o ka hoʻokele waiwai. - Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻai (MoM) (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 0.4%, Mua: 0.1%.
ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o nā kūʻai kūʻai kūʻai e hōʻike ana i ka koi ikaika o nā mea kūʻai aku, e kākoʻo ana i ka AUD, ʻoiai nā helu nāwaliwali e hōʻailona i ka makaʻala i waena o nā mea kūʻai.
- ʻAe ʻia ka hale (MoM) (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 1.2%, Mua: 4.4%.
- Kina Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Nov) (01:45 UTC):
- Ka wānana: 50.6, Previous: 50.3.
ʻO ka heluhelu ma luna o 50 e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hana. E kākoʻo ana ka ʻikepili ikaika i ka CNY a hoʻonui i ka manaʻo pilikia ma ka honua holoʻokoʻa, ʻoiai ʻo ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali e hōʻike ana i ka hana lohi.
- Ka wānana: 50.6, Previous: 50.3.
- ʻIkepili Hoʻokele waiwai Eurozone (09:00–10:00 UTC):
- HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Nov): Ka wānana: 45.2, Ma mua: 46.0.
Hōʻike ka PMI ma lalo o 50 i ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa. Hiki ke kaupaona ʻia kahi helu nāwaliwali ma ka EUR, ʻoiai ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana e hōʻailona ana i ka hiki ke hoʻihoʻi. - Ka helu hana ʻole (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 6.3%, Mua: 6.3%.
Hōʻike ka nele i ka hana ʻole i kahi mākeke hana paʻa, e kākoʻo ana i ka EUR. - ʻŌlelo ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde (10:00 UTC):
E kākoʻo nā ʻōlelo Hawkish i ka EUR ma o ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i nā manaʻolana paʻa, ʻoiai ʻo nā ʻōlelo dovish hiki ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ke kālā.
- HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Nov): Ka wānana: 45.2, Ma mua: 46.0.
- ʻIkepili Hana Hana a kūkulu ʻAmelika (14:45–15:00 UTC):
- S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov): Ka wānana: 48.8, Ma mua: 48.5.
- ISM Manufacturing PMI (Nov): Ka wānana: 47.7, Ma mua: 46.5.
- Nā kumukūʻai hana ISM (Nov): Ka wānana: 55.2, Ma mua: 54.8.
- Hoʻolilo Hana Hana (MoM) (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 0.2%, Mua: 0.1%.
ʻO ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka hana ʻana i nā PMI a i ʻole ka hoʻolilo ʻana i ke kūkulu ʻana e hōʻike i ka hoʻokele waiwai, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD. ʻO ka hoʻemi hou ʻana i ka PMI a i ʻole nā helu hoʻolimalima nāwaliwali hiki ke kaupaona i ke kālā.
- Nā Kūlana Kūlana CFTC (20:30 UTC):
- Tracks manao speculative in aila man, gula, nā kaulike kaulike, a nā kālā nui.
Hōʻike nā hoʻololi i nā kūlana ʻupena i ka hoʻololi ʻana i ka manaʻo mākeke a me nā ʻano e hiki mai ana.
- Tracks manao speculative in aila man, gula, nā kaulike kaulike, a nā kālā nui.
- ʻŌlelo Fed (20:15 & 21:30 UTC):
- ʻŌlelo ʻo Fed Waller (20:15 UTC): ʻIke i ke alakaʻi kulekele Fed.
- Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Williams Member FOMC (21:30 UTC): Hiki ke hoʻololi i nā manaʻolana no ka piʻi ʻana a me nā ala uku ukupanee. E kākoʻo nā leo Hawkish i ka USD, ʻoiai ʻo nā ʻōlelo dovish hiki ke kaupaona iā ia.
Ka Hoʻopono Makeke
- ʻIkepili Australia:
ʻO ka hoʻihoʻi hou ʻana i nā loaʻa kālā, nā kūʻai kūʻai kiʻekiʻe, a i ʻole nā ʻae kūkulu hale ikaika e kākoʻo i ka AUD, e hōʻailona ana i ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana i ka hoʻokele waiwai. Hiki i nā ʻikepili nāwaliwali ke hoʻohaʻahaʻa i ka manaʻo. - PMI hana Kina:
ʻO ka heluhelu ikaika e kākoʻo i ka manaʻo pilikia o ka honua a me nā kālā pili i nā waiwai e like me AUD, ʻoiai ʻo ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali ke hōʻailona i ka lohi o ka noi honua. - ʻIkepili Eurozone & ʻŌlelo Lagarde:
ʻO ka PMI ikaika a i ʻole ka ʻikepili hana ʻole a me ka ʻōlelo hawkish ECB e kākoʻo i ka EUR. Hiki i nā helu hana nāwaliwali a i ʻole nā ʻōlelo dovish ke kaupaona i ke kālā. - ʻIkepili Hana Hana a me ka ʻōlelo Fed:
ʻO ke kūpaʻa ʻana i ka ISM a me S&P PMI, ka hoʻolilo ʻana i ke kūkulu ʻana, a i ʻole ka ʻōlelo a hawkish Fed e hoʻoikaika i ka ikaika USD. Hiki i nā ʻikepili nāwaliwali a i ʻole nā ʻōlelo dovish ke palupalu i ke kālā.
Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa
Ka uluʻana:
Maikaʻi a kiʻekiʻe, me ka nānā ʻana i ka ʻikepili hana honua, ECB a me ka ʻōlelo Fed, a me nā helu hoʻonui pili kālā US.
Helu hopena: 7/10, me nā mana koʻikoʻi mai ka PMI Kina, ka ʻikepili hana a me ke kūkulu ʻana o US, a me ka ʻōlelo ʻōlelo panakō waena e hoʻokumu ana i ka manaʻo o ka mākeke no ka wā pōkole.
