Jeremy Oles

Hoʻopuka ʻia ma: 19/08/2025
E kaʻana!
By Hoʻopuka ʻia ma: 19/08/2025
Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)Moku'āinanuiEventForecastPrevious
01:00ʻ2 pointsʻAiʻai mua ʻo Kina 5Y (ʻAukake)3.50%3.50%
01:15ʻ2 pointsPBoC Loan Kumukuai3.00%3.00%
02:00🇳🇿3 pointsʻO ka hoʻoholo ʻana i ka uku ukupanee RBNZ3.00%3.25%
02:00🇳🇿2 pointsRBNZ Monetary Policy Statement --------
02:00🇳🇿2 pointsʻO ka ʻōlelo hoʻohālikelike RBNZ--------
03:00🇳🇿2 pointsRBNZ Press Conference--------
07:10🇪🇺2 pointsUa ʻōlelo ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde--------
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsCPI kumu (YoY) (Iulai)2.3%2.3%
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsCPI (MoM) (Iulai)0.0%0.3%
09:00🇪🇺3 pointsCPI (YoY) (Iulai)2.0%2.0%
14:30????????3 pointsNa Waiwai Aila----3.036M
14:30????????2 pointsCushing Oil Crude Inventory----0.045M
15:00????????2 pointsʻŌlelo ʻo Fed Waller--------
17:00????????2 pointsKudala Kudala 20 Makahiki----4.935%
18:00????????3 pointsNā minuke hālāwai FOMC--------
19:00????????2 pointsUa ʻōlelo ʻo Bostic Member FOMC--------

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Augate 20, 2025

ʻAsia – Kina a me Aotearoa

ʻO ka hōʻaiʻē ʻo Kina 5Y (ʻAukake) - 01:00 UTC

  • Ka wānana: 3.50% (ma mua 3.50%)
  • Pākuʻi: ʻAʻohe loli i manaʻo ʻia. ʻO ka ʻoki e hoʻoulu i nā ʻāpana hale a me nā ʻoihana, e kākoʻo ana i nā kaulike a me nā waiwai akā e hoʻonāwaliwali iā CNY.

PBoC Loan Prime Rate (Aug) - 01:15 UTC

  • Ka wānana: 3.00% (ma mua 3.00%)
  • Pākuʻi: Manaʻo kūpaʻa; ʻO ke oki kamahaʻo e hoʻoikaika i ka CNY a hoʻonui i nā kaulike Kina.

ʻO ka hoʻoholo ʻana i ka uku ukupanee RBNZ - 02:00 UTC

  • Ka wānana: 3.00% (ma mua 3.25%)
  • Pākuʻi: Loaʻaʻia oki uku hōʻike i ka ulu mālie. ʻO kahi ʻōlelo dovish e koi aku iā NZD. E nānā pono nā mākeke i ka hālāwai kūkā (03:00 UTC) no ke alakaʻi ʻana i mua.

ʻEulopa - Inflation & ECB Tone

ʻŌlelo ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde - 07:10 UTC

  • Pākuʻi: Hiki ke hoʻololi i ka leo (hawkish vs dovish) i ke kuhikuhi EUR a me nā hua paʻa Eurozone.

Eurozone Core CPI (YoY, Jul) - 09:00 UTC

  • Ka wānana: 2.3% (ma mua 2.3%)
  • Pākuʻi: Hōʻike ka hoʻonui kumu paʻa i nā kaomi kumu kūʻai paʻa.

Eurozone CPI (YoY, Jul) - 09:00 UTC

  • Ka wānana: 2.0% (ma mua 2.0%)
  • Pākuʻi: ʻO ka paʻa ʻana o ka piʻi ʻana o ke poʻo e hoʻemi i ke kaomi ECB no ka hana koke.

Eurozone CPI (MoM, Jul) - 09:00 UTC

  • Ka wānana: 0.0% (ma mua 0.3%)
  • Pākuʻi: Hōʻike ʻia kahi helu mahina paʻa i ka manawa hoʻomaha, e kākoʻo ana paha i nā manaʻolana dovish ECB.

ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa - Energy, Bonds & Fed Signals

Nā Waiwai ʻAila - 14:30 UTC

  • Prev .: + 3.036M
  • Pākuʻi: ʻO kekahi kūkulu hou e koi i nā kumukūʻai WTI; hiki i kahi huki ke kākoʻo i ka ʻaila a me nā waiwai pili i ka piʻi.

ʻO Cushing Oil Crude Inventory - 14:30 UTC

  • Prev .: + 0.045M
  • Pākuʻi: Hoʻololi pinepine nā hoʻololi liʻiliʻi no ke koena hoʻolako-koi āpana.

ʻŌlelo ke Kiaʻāina Fed Waller - 15:00 UTC

  • Pākuʻi: E hoʻokiʻekiʻe ka leo Hawkish i ka USD a me nā hua; Hiki i ke kūlana dovish ke kākoʻo i nā kaulike.

Kudala Kudala 20-makahiki - 17:00 UTC

  • Prev .: 4.935%
  • Pākuʻi: ʻO ke koi nāwaliwali e hoʻoulu i nā hua kiʻekiʻe, e koi ana i nā Waihona a me nā kaulike.

Nā minuke hālāwai FOMC - 18:00 UTC

  • Pākuʻi: ʻO ka lā ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana ma ka mākeke. E nānā ka poʻe kālepa i nā kikoʻī no ka maopopo o ka trajectory rate. Kākoʻo ʻo Dovish i nā kaulike a me nā mea paʻa; Kākoʻo ka leo hawkish i ka USD.

ʻŌlelo Bostic Member FOMC - 19:00 UTC

  • Pākuʻi: Hoʻoikaika i ka manaʻo Fed ma hope o nā minuke; hiki ke hoʻoneʻe i nā mākeke inā ʻokoʻa ka leo mai ka ʻae ʻana.

Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

  • ʻO Asia: ʻOki ʻia ʻo RBNZ i manaʻo ʻia → NZD volatility. ʻO ka paʻa paʻa ʻana o PBoC e kākoʻo i ka kūpaʻa ma CNY; e hoʻololi i ka leo pilikia.
  • 'Europa: ʻO ka hoʻonuiʻana ma ka wahi hōʻoluʻolu o ECB e ho'ēmi i ka wikiwiki no ka piʻi. ʻO ka leo o Lagarde ke kī no ka EUR.
  • US: ʻO nā waihona ʻaila, ke kūʻai kūʻai paʻa, a ʻoi aku Nā minuke FOMC hoʻomalu i ka alakaʻi mākeke honua. E manaʻo i ka USD koi a me ka neʻe ʻana o ka hopena inā ʻike ʻo Fed i ka emi ʻana a i ʻole ka hopohopo no ka hoʻonui.

Helu Ka hopena: 8/10

  • Nā mea hoʻokele koʻikoʻi: ʻO ka hoʻoholo helu RBNZ, Eurozone CPI, nā minuke FOMC.
  • manaʻo kiʻekiʻe volatility ma USD, NZD, EUR, a me nā mākeke ikehu.