Nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana 21 ʻOkakopa 2024

Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)	Moku'āina	nui	hanana	Forecast	Previous
01:00		2 puan	5Y (ʻOkakopa)	3.65%	3.85%
01:15		2 puan	PBoC Loan Kumukuai	3.15%	3.35%
14:00		2 puan	Helu alakai US (MoM) (Sep)	-0.3%	-0.2%
17:00		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Kashkari lālā FOMC	---	---
22:40		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Daly Member FOMC	---	---

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma ʻOkakopa 21, 2024

1. ʻAiʻai mua o Kina 5Y (ʻOkakopa) (01:00 UTC):
   ʻO ka People's Bank of China's (PBoC) 5-makahiki hōʻaiʻē nui, e lilo ana i mea kuhikuhi no nā moraki. Ka wānana: 3.65%, Mua: 3.85%. Hiki ke hōʻike ʻia ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻana i ka uku no ka hoʻoulu ʻana i ka ulu waiwai.
2. PBoC Loan Prime Rate (ʻOkakopa) (01:15 UTC):
   ʻO ka uku hōʻaiʻē 1-makahiki i hoʻonohonoho ʻia e ka PBoC, e hoʻopili ana i nā kumukūʻai hōʻaiʻē ʻoihana a me ka home. Ka wānana: 3.15%, Mua: 3.35%. ʻO ka ho'ēmiʻana e hōʻike ana i nā hana hoʻomau e hoʻohaʻahaʻa i nā kumukūʻai hōʻai'ē a kākoʻo i ka hoʻokele waiwai.
3. Ka Papa kuhikuhi alakaʻi o US (MoM) (Sep) (14:00 UTC):
   He helu helu hui e wānana ana i ke kuhikuhi o ka hoʻokele waiwai. Ka wānana: -0.3%, Mua: -0.2%. ʻO ka hāʻule hou aʻe e hōʻike ana i ka nāwaliwali o ka hoʻokele waiwai a me ka hiki ke lohi i mua.
4. ʻŌlelo ʻo Kashkari lālā FOMC (17:00 UTC):
   ʻO Neel Kashkari, Pelekikena o ka Minneapolis Fed, hiki ke hāʻawi i nā ʻike i ka manaʻo o ka Federal Reserve e pili ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana, ka ulu ʻana, a me ka hoʻololi ʻana i ka uku ukupanee.
5. ʻŌlelo ʻo Daly Member FOMC (22:40 UTC):
   Hiki iā Mary Daly, ka Pelekikena o ka Fed o Kapalakiko, ke hāʻawi hou aku i ka manaʻo e pili ana i ke alakaʻi kulekele a ka Fed a me nā manaʻo e pili ana i nā pilikia waiwai.

Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

• Uku Uku Uku Ui Aiee Kina (5Y a me 1Y):
  ʻO ka ʻoki ʻana i kēlā me kēia helu e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻēmi kālā hou aʻe, i manaʻo ʻia e hoʻonui i ka ulu waiwai ma Kina. Hiki i kēia ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ka CNY akā hiki ke hāʻawi i ke kākoʻo i nā waiwai o ka honua a me nā waiwai pilikia i pili i ka koi Kina.
• Helu alakaʻi alakaʻi o US (MoM):
  ʻO ka hāʻule hou aʻe e hōʻailona i ka hoʻomau ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai, hiki ke kaupaona i ka USD ma o ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka manaʻo o kahi kūlana dovish mai ka Fed.
• Nā ʻōlelo a ka lālā FOMC Kashkari & Daly:
  E kākoʻo nā ʻōlelo Hawkish mai kēlā me kēia lālā Fed i ka USD ma o ka hōʻailona ʻana i ka hiki no ka piʻi nui ʻana, ʻoiai ʻo ka ʻōlelo a dovish e hoʻoluliluli i ka USD, e hōʻike ana i nā hopohopo e pili ana i ka hoʻolōʻihi ʻana i ka ulu waiwai.

Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa

Ka uluʻana:
Maikaʻi, me ka hiki ke hoʻololi i ka mākeke e pili ana i nā hoʻoholo uku ukupanee a Kina a me nā hōʻailona hoʻokele waiwai o US. E nānā pono ʻia nā ʻōlelo Fed no nā hōʻailona e pili ana i ke alakaʻi kulekele kālā e hiki mai ana.

Helu hopena: 6/10, alakaʻi ʻia e ka hoʻoponopono ʻana i nā kulekele kālā a Kina a me ka ʻikepili alakaʻi alakaʻi o US, e hoʻohuli i ka manaʻo o ka mākeke i ka ulu honua a me nā manaʻolana uku.