Nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana 22 Nowemapa 2024

Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)	Moku'āina	nui	hanana	Forecast	Previous
00:30		2 puan	au Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI (Nov)	---	49.7
08:30		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde	---	---
08:40		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo De Guindos o ECB	---	---
09:00		2 puan	HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Nov)	46.0	46.0
09:00		2 puan	HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Nov)	---	50.0
09:00		2 puan	HCOB Eurozone Services PMI (Nov)	51.6	51.6
11:15		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Tuominen ka lālā o ka papa luna ECB	---	---
14:45		3 puan	S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Nov)	---	48.5
14:45		2 puan	S&P Global Composite PMI (Nov)	---	54.1
14:45		3 puan	S&P Global Services PMI (Nov)	---	55.0
15:00		2 puan	ʻO nā manaʻolana hoʻonui makahiki ʻo Michigan (Nov)	2.6%	2.7%
15:00		2 puan	ʻO nā manaʻolana hoʻonui makahiki ʻo Michigan (Nov)	3.1%	3.0%
15:00		2 puan	Manaʻolana nā mea kūʻai aku ma Michigan (Nov)	78.5	74.1
15:00		2 puan	Manaʻo Mea Hoʻohana ʻo Michigan (Nov)	73.0	70.5
15:45		2 puan	ʻŌlelo ʻo Schnabel o ECB	---	---
18:00		2 puan	Ka helu ʻana o ka ʻaila ʻaila ʻo US Baker Hughes	---	478
18:00		2 puan	Hui Pū ʻia ʻo Baker Hughes ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa	---	584
20:30		2 puan	Nā kūlana net speculative CFTC Oil Crude	---	186.9K
20:30		2 puan	CFTC Gold speculative net kūlana	---	236.5K
20:30		2 puan	ʻO CFTC Nasdaq 100 mau kūlana kikoʻī	---	16.4K
20:30		2 puan	CFTC S&P 500 mau kūlana kikoʻī kikoʻī	---	25.0K
20:30		2 puan	Nā kūlana net speculative CFTC AUD	---	29.8K
20:30		2 puan	CFTC JPY nā kūlana net speculative	---	-64.9K
20:30		2 puan	Nā kūlana net speculative CFTC EUR	---	-7.4K
23:15		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Bowman lālā FOMC	---	---

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Nowemapa 22, 2024

1. PMI lawelawe o Iapana (Nov) (00:30 UTC):
   • au Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI: Mua: 49.7.
     ʻO ka heluhelu ʻana ma lalo o 50 e hōʻike ana i ka hōʻemi ʻana i ka ʻāpana lawelawe, e kaupaona ana ma ka JPY. ʻO ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana ma luna o 50 e hōʻailona i ka hoʻonui ʻana, e kākoʻo ana i ke kālā.
2. Nā ʻŌlelo ECB (Lagarde, De Guindos, Tuominen, Schnabel) (08:30–15:45 UTC):
   ʻO nā manaʻo mai nā luna o ka ECB, me ka Pelekikena Christine Lagarde, ka Hope Pelekikena Luis de Guindos, Luna Hoʻokele Luna ʻo Anneli Tuominen, a me ka Luna Hoʻokele ʻo Isabel Schnabel, hiki ke hāʻawi i nā ʻike e pili ana i ka hoʻonui kālā, nā kulekele kālā, a i ʻole ka ulu waiwai. E kākoʻo ka ʻōlelo Hawkish i ka EUR, ʻoiai nā ʻōlelo dovish hiki ke hoʻonāwaliwali iā ia.
3. ʻIkepili PMI Eurozone (Nov) (09:00 UTC):
   • HCOB Manufacturing PMI: Ka wānana: 46.0, Ma mua: 46.0.
   • HCOB Composite PMI: Mua: 50.0.
   • PMI lawelawe HCOB: Ka wānana: 51.6, Ma mua: 51.6.
     ʻO ka PMI hana ma lalo o 50 e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana, ʻoiai ka heluhelu ʻana a me nā lawelawe PMI ma luna o 50 e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻonui. E kākoʻo ka ʻikepili ikaika ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia i ka EUR, ʻoiai ʻoi aku ka nāwaliwali o ka ʻikepili ma luna o ia.
4. ʻIkepili PMI Global S&P US (Nov) (14:45 UTC):
   • PMI hana: Mua: 48.5.
   • PMI hui: Mua: 54.1.
   • PMI lawelawe: Mua: 55.0.
     Heluhelu PMI ma lalo o ka hōʻailona hōʻailona 50, aʻo nā mea ma luna o 50 e hōʻike i ka hoʻonui. E kākoʻo nā helu PMI ikaika i ka USD, ʻoiai ʻo ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali e hoʻemi i ka manaʻo.
5. Nā Manaʻo Hoʻonui a me ka Manaʻo o ka Mea Hoʻohana (Nov) (15:00 UTC):
   • 1-makahiki hoʻonui manaʻolana: Ka wānana: 2.6%, Mua: 2.7%.
   • 5-makahiki hoʻonui manaʻolana: Ka wānana: 3.1%, Mua: 3.0%.
   • Manaʻo mea kūʻai: Ka wānana: 78.5, Ma mua: 74.1.
   • Manaʻo mea kūʻai: Ka wānana: 73.0, Ma mua: 70.5.
     ʻO ka manaʻo maikaʻi a me nā manaʻolana hoʻonui paʻa e kākoʻo i ka USD ma o ka hōʻike ʻana i ka hilinaʻi o ka mea kūʻai aku a me ke kūpaʻa kumukūʻai. Hiki ke kaumaha nā hōʻemi i ke kālā.
6. Ka helu ʻana o US Baker Hughes Rig (18:00 UTC):
   • Ka helu ʻaila: Mua: 478.
   • Ka helu ʻana o nā pū: Mua: 584.
     Hōʻike ka hoʻololi i ka helu rig i ka hana hana ʻaila. ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o nā helu e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka lako, hiki ke kaumaha i nā kumukūʻai aila, aʻo nā hōʻemi e hōʻike ana i ka paʻa ʻana o ka lako.
7. Nā Kūlana Kūlana Kūlana CFTC (20:30 UTC):
   • Hoʻopili i nā manaʻo noʻonoʻo i loko o ka aila ʻaila, ke gula, nā kaulike, a me nā kālā nui.
     ʻO nā hoʻololi i ka hoʻonohonoho ʻana e hāʻawi i nā ʻike i ka manaʻo mākeke a me nā koi koi, e hoʻohuli ana i nā kumukūʻai waiwai.
8. ʻŌlelo ʻo Bowman Member FOMC (23:15 UTC):
   Hiki i nā ʻōlelo a ke Kiaʻāina ʻo Federal Reserve ʻo Michelle Bowman ke hāʻawi i ka wehewehe hou aʻe i ka nānā ʻana o ka inflation a me ke kūlana kulekele o ka Fed. E kākoʻo nā manaʻo Hawkish i ka USD, ʻoiai ʻo nā ʻōlelo dovish ke kaupaona ʻia.

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Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

• PMI lawelawe o Iapana:
  ʻO ka heluhelu ʻana ma lalo o 50 e hōʻailona ana i ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻana, hiki ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ka JPY. ʻO ka hoʻi ʻana i ka ʻāina hoʻonui e hōʻike i ka hoʻokele waiwai, kākoʻo i ke kālā.
• ʻIkepili PMI Eurozone a me nā ʻōlelo ECB:
  ʻO nā helu PMI ikaika a i ʻole ka ʻōlelo hawkish mai nā luna ECB e hoʻoikaika i nā manaʻolana no ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i ke kulekele, e kākoʻo ana i ka EUR. Hiki ke kaumaha ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali a i ʻole nā ​​ʻōlelo dovish i ka EUR.
• PMI US a me ka manaʻo o nā mea kūʻai:
  ʻO ka ʻikepili PMI ikaika a me ka manaʻo o ka mea kūʻai aku e kākoʻo i ka USD ma ka hōʻailona ʻana i ka ikaika waiwai. ʻO nā helu nāwaliwali a i ʻole ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻana i ka manaʻo e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻokele waiwai, hiki ke hoʻopalupalu i ke kālā.
• Ka helu ʻana o Baker Hughes Rig:
  Hōʻike ka piʻi ʻana o ka rig i ka lako ʻoi aku ka nui, hiki ke koi i nā kumukūʻai aila a hoʻopilikia i nā kālā pili waiwai. Hōʻike nā hōʻole e hoʻopaʻa i ka lako, kākoʻo i nā kumukūʻai aila.
• Nā Kūlana Kūlana CFTC:
  ʻO nā hoʻololi i nā kūlana ʻupena e hāʻawi i nā ʻike i ka manaʻo o ka mākeke a me nā ʻano kumukūʻai o ka wā e hiki mai ana ma waena o nā waiwai nui, equities, a me nā kālā.

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Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa

Ka uluʻana:
Maikaʻi a kiʻekiʻe, alakaʻi ʻia e ka PMI hoʻokuʻu mai ka Eurozone a me ka US, ECB a me FOMC ʻōlelo, a me nā ʻano manaʻo. E maʻalahi nā mākeke ikehu i ka ʻikepili Baker Hughes.

Helu hopena: 7/10, me ka ʻikepili PMI a me nā haʻi'ōlelo panakō waena e hoʻolālā ana i nā manaʻolana no ka ulu ʻana a me nā kulekele kālā, a me ke kūlana speculative e hōʻike ana i ka manaʻo o ka mākeke ākea.