Nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana 23 ʻOkakopa 2024

Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)	Moku'āina	nui	hanana	Forecast	Previous
13:00		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Bowman lālā FOMC	---	---
14:00		3 puan	Ke kūʻai aku nei i nā hale (Sep)	3.88M	3.86M
14:00		2 puan	Ke kūʻai aku nei i nā hale (MoM) (Sep)	---	-2.5%
14:00		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde	---	---
14:00		2 puan	ʻŌlelo ʻo ECB's Lane	---	---
14:30		3 puan	Na Waiwai Aila	0.700M	-2.191M
14:30		2 puan	Cushing Oil Crude Inventory	---	0.108M
17:00		2 puan	Kudala Kudala 20 Makahiki	---	4.039%
17:00		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo RBNZ Gov Orr	---	---
18:00		2 puan	Beige Book	---	---

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma ʻOkakopa 23, 2024

1. ʻŌlelo ʻo Bowman Member FOMC (13:00 UTC):
   Hiki i nā ʻōlelo a ke Kiaʻāina ʻo Federal Reserve ʻo Michelle Bowman ke hāʻawi i nā ʻike e pili ana i ka manaʻo o ka Fed e pili ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana, ka uku pānaʻi, a me ka ʻike ākea ākea.
2. ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa Kūʻai (Sep) (14:00 UTC):
   Hoʻopili i ka helu o nā hale i kūʻai ʻia i kēlā me kēia makahiki. Ka wānana: 3.88M, Mua: 3.86M. ʻO ke kūʻai ikaika aku e hōʻike i ke kūpaʻa i ka mākeke hale, ʻoiai nā mea kūʻai nāwaliwali e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻana i ka noi.
3. ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa (MoM) (Sep) (14:00 UTC):
   Ana i ka hoʻololi ʻana o ka mahina ma ke kūʻai hale. Mua: -2.5%. ʻO ka emi ʻana e hōʻailona ana i ka lohi o ka mākeke hale.
4. ʻŌlelo ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde (14:00 UTC):
   Hiki i ka Pelekikena ECB ʻo Christine Lagarde ke hāʻawi i nā mea hou e pili ana i ke kūlana hoʻokele waiwai o ka Eurozone, nā ʻano inflation, a me ke alakaʻi kulekele kālā o ke kikowaena.
5. ʻŌlelo ke Alanui ECB (14:00 UTC):
   Hiki i ka ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane ke hāʻawi aku i nā ʻike hou aʻe i ka hoʻolālā o ka ECB e mālama i ka hoʻonui ʻana a me ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana i ka hoʻokele waiwai ma ka Eurozone.
6. Nā ʻAila ʻAila ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa (14:30 UTC):
   Ana i na hoololi pule i na waihona aila. Ka wānana: 0.700M, Mua: -2.191M. ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o nā waihona waiwai e hōʻike ana i ka nāwaliwali o ka koi, ke kaupaona nei i nā kumukūʻai aila, ʻoiai ʻo ka emi ʻana e hōʻike ana i ka ʻai ikaika.
7. ʻO nā waihona ʻaila ʻaila Cushing (14:30 UTC):
   Hoʻopili i ka nui o ka aila ʻaila i mālama ʻia ma Cushing, Oklahoma hub. Mua: 0.108M. Hoʻololi nā hoʻololi ma ʻaneʻi i ke kumu kūʻai ʻaila ʻAmelika.
8. ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa 20 Makahiki (17:00 UTC):
   ʻO ke kūʻai ʻana no nā bona Waihona 20 makahiki. Loaʻa mua: 4.039%. ʻO nā hua kiʻekiʻe e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana i nā kumukūʻai hōʻaiʻē a i ʻole nā ​​manaʻolana hoʻonui.
9. ʻŌlelo ʻo RBNZ Gov Orr (17:00 UTC):
   Hiki i ke Kia'āina Reserve Bank o New Zealand ʻo Adrian Orr ke kūkākūkā i nā kulekele kālā a me nā kūlana waiwai, hiki ke hāʻawi i nā ʻike i nā hoʻoholo uku e hiki mai ana.
10. US Beige Book (18:00 UTC):
    He hōʻike Federal Reserve e hāʻawi ana i nā hōʻike anecdotal e pili ana i nā kūlana waiwai o kēia manawa ma waena o US. Ke nānā pono ʻia nei no ka ʻike ʻana i ka makemake o nā mea kūʻai aku, ke ʻano o ka mākeke hana, a me ka piʻi ʻana o ka hoʻonui.

Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

• ʻŌlelo FOMC Bowman:
  Hiki i kēlā me kēia leo hawkish mai Bowman ke hoʻoikaika i ka USD, e hōʻailona ana i ka piʻi ʻana o ka uku pānaʻi. Hiki i nā ʻōlelo Dovish ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ka USD no ka mea e hōʻike ana i ka makaʻala e pili ana i nā pilikia waiwai.
• Nā ʻikepili kūʻai hale e kū nei ma ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa (MoM a me ka makahiki):
  ʻO nā kūʻai hale ʻoi aku ka nāwaliwali ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia e hōʻike i kahi mākeke hale hoʻomaha, hiki ke kaupaona ʻia ma ka USD. ʻO nā kūʻai ikaika e hōʻike i ka hoʻomau i ka noi, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD.
• Nā ʻŌlelo ECB (Lagarde a me Lane):
  ʻO nā ʻōlelo a Hawkish e pili ana i ka hoʻokele inflation mai Lagarde a i ʻole Lane e kākoʻo i ka EUR, ʻoiai ʻo nā ʻōlelo dovish hiki ke hoʻohaʻahaʻa i ke kālā, ʻoiai inā e neʻe ka manaʻo i nā pilikia waiwai.
• ʻO nā waihona ʻaila ʻaila US:
  ʻO ke kūkulu ʻia ʻana o nā waihona e hōʻailona ai i ka nāwaliwali o ke koi, e hoʻemi ana paha i ke kumu kūʻai aila. ʻO ka emi ʻana e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻohana ikaika ʻana, e kākoʻo ana i nā kumukūʻai aila.
• ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa 20 Makahiki:
  Hiki ke hōʻike ʻia nā hua paʻa kiʻekiʻe i ka piʻi ʻana o ka hoʻonui kālā a i ʻole ka hoʻonui ʻia ʻana o nā kumukūʻai pilikia, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD ma o ka huki ʻana i ke kapikala haole.
• RBNZ Kiaaina Orr Olelo:
  ʻO kēlā me kēia hōʻailona o ka piʻi ʻana o ka piʻi ʻana mai Adrian Orr e kākoʻo i ka NZD, ʻoiai e hoʻonāwaliwali nā hōʻailona dovish.
• Buke beige US:
  ʻO kahi hōʻike e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻokele waiwai a me ka hoʻonui mau ʻana e kākoʻo i ka USD ma o ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i ka pono no ka hoʻomau ʻana i ka Fed. ʻO kahi hōʻike makaʻala e hoʻonāwaliwali i ka USD no ka mea e hōʻailona ana ia i ka lohi ʻana o ka ulu waiwai.

Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa

Ka uluʻana:
Maikaʻi a kiʻekiʻe, me ka neʻe ʻana o ka mākeke i alakaʻi ʻia e nā haʻiʻōlelo mai nā luna panakō waena (Fed, ECB, RBNZ), ʻikepili mākeke hale mai ka US, a me ka hōʻike ʻo Beige Book. Hiki ke hoʻohui pū ʻia nā ʻaila aila ʻAmelika a me nā hopena kūʻai kūʻai paʻa i ka volatility i nā mākeke a me nā mākeke paʻa.

Helu hopena: 7/10, ma muli o ka hui pū ʻana o nā haʻi ʻōlelo panakō waena, nā ʻikepili koʻikoʻi koʻikoʻi o US, a me ka hoʻoikaika ʻana o ka mākeke aila. E hoʻolālā kēia mau hanana i nā manaʻolana no ke kulekele kālā e hiki mai ana a me ka ulu waiwai.