Jeremy Oles

Hoʻopuka ʻia ma: 28/08/2025
E kaʻana!
By Hoʻopuka ʻia ma: 28/08/2025
Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)Moku'āinanuiEventForecastPrevious
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsUa ʻōlelo ʻo De Guindos o ECB--------
12:30????????3 pointsPapa helu kumu kūʻai PCE kumu (MoM) (Iulai)0.3%0.3%
12:30????????3 pointsPapa kuhikuhi kumu kumu kūʻai PCE (YoY) (Iulai)2.9%2.8%
12:30????????2 pointsKoena Kūʻai Waiwai (Iulai)-90.20B-84.85B
12:30????????2 pointsHelu kumu kūʻai PCE (YoY) (Iulai)2.6%2.6%
12:30????????2 pointsHelu helu kumu kūʻai PCE (MoM) (Iulai)0.2%0.3%
12:30????????2 pointsHoʻolilo Pilikino (MoM) (Iulai)0.5%0.3%
12:30????????2 pointsNā Waiwai Kūʻai Kūʻai Ex Auto (Iulai)-----0.1%
13:45????????3 pointsChicago PMI (ʻAukake)46.647.1
14:00????????2 pointsʻO nā manaʻolana hoʻonui o Michigan 1-makahiki (ʻAukake)4.9%4.9%
14:00????????2 pointsʻO nā manaʻolana hoʻonui o Michigan 5-makahiki (ʻAukake)3.9%3.4%
14:00????????2 pointsʻO nā manaʻolana o nā mea kūʻai aku ʻo Michigan (ʻAukake)57.257.7
14:00????????2 pointsManaʻo Mea Hoʻohana ʻo Michigan (ʻAukake)58.661.7
15:30????????2 pointsʻO Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)2.2%2.2%
17:00????????2 pointsKa helu ʻana o ka ʻaila ʻaila ʻo US Baker Hughes----411
17:00????????2 pointsHui Pū ʻia ʻo Baker Hughes ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa----538
19:30????????2 pointsNā kūlana net speculative CFTC Oil Crude----120.2K
19:30????????2 pointsCFTC Gold speculative net kūlana----212.6K
19:30????????2 pointsʻO CFTC Nasdaq 100 mau kūlana kikoʻī----33.8K
19:30????????2 pointsCFTC S&P 500 mau kūlana kikoʻī kikoʻī-----171.5K
19:30🇦🇺2 pointsNā kūlana net speculative CFTC AUD-----94.9K
19:30🇯🇵2 pointsCFTC JPY nā kūlana net speculative----77.6K
19:30🇪🇺2 pointsNā kūlana net speculative CFTC EUR----118.7K

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Augate 29, 2025

ʻEulopa - ECB

ʻŌlelo ʻo De Guindos o ECB - 09:00 UTC

  • Pākuʻi: E nānā nā mākeke no ka manaʻo e pili ana i ka hoʻomau ʻana o ka hoʻonui kālā a i ʻole ke kuhikuhi kulekele kālā. Hiki i nā leo Hawkish ke hoʻoikaika i ka euro; hiki i nā ʻōlelo hoʻomāinoino ke koi.

ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa - ʻIkepili Hoʻonui, Ulu a me Manaʻo

Ka Papa Kuhikuhi Kumu PCE (MoM, Jul) - 12:30 UTC

  • Ka wānana: +0.3% (Ma mua: +0.3%)

Ka Papa Kuhikuhi Kumu PCE (YoY, Jul) - 12:30 UTC

  • Ka wānana: 2.9% (Mamua: 2.8%)

Ka Papa Kuhikuhi PCE (MoM & YoY, Jul) - 12:30 UTC

  • Ka wanana MoM: +0.2% (Ma mua: +0.3%)
  • ʻO ka wānana YoY: +2.6% (Ma mua: +2.6%)
  • Pākuʻi: ʻO PCE ka mea i makemake nui ʻia e ka Fed.
    • Hoʻopaʻa paʻa ka MoM kumu 0.3% paʻa i ka piʻi ʻana, hiki ke lohi i ka hōʻemi ʻana i ka uku.
    • ʻO kēlā me kēia haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa e hōʻoluʻolu i ke kaomi i ka Fed a hoʻonui i nā kaulike.

Kauna Kūʻai Kūʻai (Iulai) - 12:30 UTC

  • Ka wānana: -$90.2B (Mamua: -$84.85B)
  • Pākuʻi: ʻO ka hapa nui e hōʻike ana i nā hoʻokomo ikaika, hiki ke kaupaona i nā manaʻo GDP a me USD.

Hoʻolilo Pilikino (MoM, Jul) - 12:30 UTC

  • Ka wānana: +0.5% (Ma mua: +0.3%)
  • Pākuʻi: Kākoʻo ka hoʻolilo ikaika i ka ulu ʻana akā hiki ke hoʻomau i ka hopohopo o ka hoʻonui.

Nā Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻai Ex Auto (Iulai) - 12:30 UTC

  • Mamua: -0.1%
  • Pākuʻi: Hāʻawi i ka ʻike i nā pae waiwai; ʻO ka emi ʻana o nā mea waiwai e hōʻike ana i ka manaʻo o nā ʻoihana i nā koi nāwaliwali.

Chicago PMI (ʻAukake) - 13:45 UTC

  • Ka wānana: 46.6 (Prev.: 47.1)
  • Pākuʻi: Hōʻike ʻia kahi heluhelu sub-50 i ka hoʻomau ʻana i ka hana ʻana ma Midwest, bearish no ka USD a me nā kaulike inā nāwaliwali ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia.

ʻIkepili Mea Kūʻai ʻo Michigan (ʻAukake) - 14:00 UTC

  • 1-makahiki hoʻonui manaʻolana: 4.9% (ʻaʻole i loli)
  • 5-makahiki hoʻonui manaʻolana: 3.9% (Mamua: 3.4%)
  • Manaʻo mea kūʻai: 57.2 (Prev.: 57.7)
  • Manaʻo mea kūʻai: 58.6 (Prev.: 61.7)
  • Pākuʻi: Hiki i nā manaʻolana hoʻonui lōʻihi ke hoʻopau i nā mākeke pili. Hōʻike ka manaʻo nāwaliwali i ka lohi ʻana i ka hilinaʻi o ka home, ke kaupaona nei i ka ulu ʻana.

Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) - 15:30 UTC

  • Ka wānana: 2.2% (ʻaʻole i loli)
  • Pākuʻi: Hōʻike ka hoʻolālā kūpaʻa i ka ulu haʻahaʻa; e kākoʻo nā hoʻoponopono ikaika i ka USD.

Ka helu ʻana o ka ʻaila ʻaila US Baker Hughes - 17:00 UTC

  • Mamua: 411 rigs
  • Pākuʻi: Kākoʻo pinepine ʻia nā helu ʻaila haʻahaʻa i nā kumukūʻai aila, e hoʻoikaika ana i nā kaulike ikehu a me nā waiwai pili i ka inflation.

Hoʻonohonoho CFTC - 19:30 UTC

  • Ka lōʻihi o ka ʻaila ʻaila: 120.2K
  • Uena gula loloa: 212.6K
  • Nasdaq 100 upena lōʻihi: 33.8K
  • S&P 500 ʻupena pōkole: -171.5K
  • AUD upena pōkole: -94.9K
  • Ka lōʻihi o JPY: 77.6K
  • Ka lōʻihi o ka ʻupena EUR: 118.7K
  • Pākuʻi: Hāʻawi ka ʻikepili hoʻonohonoho i nā ʻike manaʻo. ʻO ke gula ikaika a me ka EUR longs e hōʻike ana i nā mākeke e pale aku i ka ikaika USD, ʻoiai nā pōkole kaulike mau e hōʻike ana i ka makemake pilikia.

Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

  • 'Europa: Hiki i ka ECB's De Guindos ke hoʻoulu i nā neʻe EUR no ka wā pōkole ma muli o ke kani.
  • US: ʻIke ʻikepili kaumaha me Core PCE, Pilikino Pilikino, a me Michigan manaʻolana i ke kukui. Inā noho wela ka PCE a piʻi aʻe ka manaʻolana o ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka wā lōʻihi, hiki ke hoʻopaneʻe ʻia ka hōʻemi ʻana o Fed rate, e hoʻokiʻekiʻe ana i ka USD akā ke kaupaona nei i nā kaulike.
  • Ike: ʻO ka helu rig a me ke kūlana CFTC e hoʻohui i ka volatility no nā kumukūʻai aila.
  • Pilikia holoʻokoʻa: E kiʻekiʻe ka ʻike mākeke i ka hoʻonui ʻana a me nā hōʻailona hilinaʻi o nā mea kūʻai.

Helu Ka hopena: 9/10

  • No ke aha mai: me ʻO ka helu hoʻonui nui o Fed (Core PCE), ka hilinaʻi o ka mea kūʻai aku, a me ka ʻikepili kālepa i ka pāʻani, hiki i kēia kau ke hoʻonohonoho i ka leo no nā manaʻolana kulekele Fed i Kepakemapa.