Jeremy Oles

Hoʻopuka ʻia ma: 28/01/2025
E kaʻana!
ʻO nā kālā crypto like ʻole me ka lā no ka hoʻolaha hanana hoʻokele waiwai.
By Hoʻopuka ʻia ma: 28/01/2025
Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)Moku'āinanuiEventForecastPrevious
00:30🇦🇺2 pointsCPI (YoY) (Q4)2.5%2.8%
00:30🇦🇺2 pointsCPI (QoQ) (Q4)0.3%0.2%
00:30🇦🇺2 pointsʻOki ʻia mean CPI (QoQ) (Q4)0.6%0.8%
13:15🇪🇺2 pointsECB Monetary Policy Statement--------
13:30????????2 pointsKoena Kūʻai Kūʻai (Dec)-105.30B-103.50B
13:30????????2 pointsNā Waiwai Kūʻai Kūʻai Ex Auto (Dec)----0.5%
13:45🇪🇺3 pointsECB Press Conference  --------
15:30????????2 pointsʻO Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)--------
15:30????????3 pointsNa Waiwai Aila3.700M-1.017M
15:30????????2 pointsNa Waiwai Aila-----0.148M
19:00????????3 pointsʻŌlelo FOMC--------
19:00????????3 pointsʻO ka hoʻoholo o ka uku panee Fed4.50%4.50%
19:30????????3 pointsFOMC Press Conference--------

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Ianuari 29, 2025

Australia (🇦🇺)

  1. CPI (YoY) (Q4)(00:30 UTC):
    • Ka wānana: 2.5%, Previous: 2.8%.
    • Hōʻike i nā ʻano hoʻonui makahiki. Hiki i ka emi ʻana ke hōʻike i ka hoʻemi ʻana o ka hoʻonui ʻana, e hoʻohuli ana i nā hoʻoholo kulekele RBA.
  2. CPI (QoQ) (Q4)(00:30 UTC):
    • Ka wānana: 0.3%, Previous: 0.2%.
    • Tracks inflation quarterly; ʻO ka piʻi haʻahaʻa e kūlike me ka emi ʻana o ka makahiki, e mālama ana i ka nānā ʻana i ka hoʻonui kaulike.
  3. ʻOki ʻia mean CPI (QoQ) (Q4)(00:30 UTC):
    • Ka wānana: 0.6%, Previous: 0.8%.
    • Hoʻokaʻawale i nā mea liʻiliʻi, hāʻawi i kahi ʻike maʻalahi o ke kumu o ka hoʻonui. ʻO ka haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa e hōʻailona ana i ka hoʻonui kālā.

Eurozone (🇪🇺)

  1. ECB Monetary Policy Statement(13:15 UTC):
    • ʻO ka manaʻo e pili ana i ka inflation, ka ulu ʻana, a me nā hoʻoholo i ka wā e hiki mai ana. Hiki i nā leo Hawkish ke kākoʻo i ka EUR, ʻoiai nā ʻōlelo dovish hiki ke koi iā ia.
  2. ECB Press Conference(13:45 UTC):
    • E nānā pono ʻia nā ʻōlelo a Pelekikena Lagarde no nā kikoʻī e pili ana i ka hoʻolālā hakakā ʻana o ka ECB a i ʻole nā ​​hopohopo e pili ana i ka lohi ʻana i ka ulu.

ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa (🇺🇸)

  1. Koena Kūʻai Kūʻai (Dec)(13:30 UTC):
    • Ka wānana: -$105.30B, Previous: -$103.50B.
    • Hiki ke hōʻike ʻia ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hilinaʻi i nā mea lawe mai, hiki ke koi i nā helu ulu GDP.
  2. Nā Waiwai Kūʻai Kūʻai Ex Auto (Dec)(13:30 UTC):
    • Previous: 0.5%.
    • Hoʻopaʻa i nā pae waiwai, e hōʻike ana i nā manaʻolana o ka mea kūʻai aku no ka noi e hiki mai ana.
  3. ʻO Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)(15:30 UTC):
    • He kuhi manawa maoli no ka ulu ʻana o US GDP. Hiki ke hoʻololi i ka manaʻo o ka mākeke.
  4. Na Waiwai Aila(15:30 UTC):
    • Ka wānana: +3.700M, Previous: -1.017M.
    • ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o nā waihona waiwai hiki ke kaupaona i nā kumukūʻai aila, ʻoiai ʻo ka huki haʻahaʻa e hāʻawi i ka hoʻonui.
  5. ʻŌlelo FOMC(19:00 UTC):
    • ʻO ka manaʻo o ka Federal Reserve e pili ana i ka hoʻokele waiwai, ka hoʻonui kālā, a me ka uku ukupanee. Hiki ke hoʻoulu i ka volatility mākeke.
  6. ʻO ka hoʻoholo o ka uku panee Fed(19:00 UTC):
    • Ka wānana: 4.50%, Previous: 4.50%.
    • Manaʻo ʻia ka paʻa ʻana o nā kumukūʻai, akā ʻo ke alakaʻi mua ʻana i ka piʻi ʻana a i ʻole ka hōʻemi ʻana he mea koʻikoʻi.
  7. FOMC Press Conference(19:30 UTC):
    • ʻO nā ʻōlelo a Fed Chair Powell e hāʻawi i nā ʻike hou aʻe i ka nānā ʻana o ka Fed a me ke ala ala.

Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

AUD:

  • ʻIkepili CPI: Hiki ke hoʻonāwaliwali ka CPI haʻahaʻa ma mua o ka manaʻo i ka AUD e like me ka manaʻo e hiki i ka RBA ke mālama i kahi kūlana dovish. ʻO ka hoʻonui ikaika e hoʻoikaika i nā manaʻolana no kahi kulekele kālā paʻa, e kākoʻo ana i ka AUD.

EUR:

  • ECB Monetary Policy & Press Conference:
    • Hiki i kahi leo hawkish mai Lagarde ke hoʻonui i ka EUR, ʻoiai inā hōʻailona ka ECB i nā piʻi nui. ʻO ka mea ʻē aʻe, ʻo nā hopohopo e pili ana i ka ulu lohi a i ʻole nā ​​ʻōlelo aʻoaʻo i ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻana i ke kulekele e paona i ke kālā.

USD:

  • Ka Hoʻoholo FOMC a me ka ʻaha kūkā:
    • Manaʻo nā mākeke i kahi hoʻomaha ma 4.50%. Hiki ke hoʻoikaika ʻia ke kālā he mau haʻalulu hawkish a kūkākūkā paha e pili ana i nā piʻi e hiki mai ana. Hiki i ke alakaʻi Dovish ke alakaʻi i ka nāwaliwali o ke kālā.
  • Kauna Kūʻai Kūʻai: Hiki i ka hapa nui ke hoʻohaumia i ka manaʻolana e pili ana i ka ulu ʻana o US GDP.
  • ʻO nā waihona ʻaila ʻaila: Kūleʻa nā kumukūʻai aila i nā hoʻololi waiwai; Hiki i ka huki haʻahaʻa ke hōʻailona i ka piʻi ʻana o ka noi a kākoʻo i nā waiwai pili i ka ikehu.

Volatility & Impact Score

  • Ka uluʻana: Kiʻekiʻe (ma muli o nā hanana FOMC a me ECB).
  • Helu hopena: 9/10 - ʻO nā ʻōlelo panakō waena (FOMC, ECB) ka mea i hoʻomalu i ka kalena, e alakaʻi paha i nā neʻe mākeke koʻikoʻi ma waena o nā kālā nui a me nā papa waiwai.