Jeremy Oles

Hoʻopuka ʻia ma: 02/02/2025
E kaʻana!
Nā hanana hoʻokele waiwai e hiki mai ana 3 Pepeluali 2025
By Hoʻopuka ʻia ma: 02/02/2025
Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)Moku'āinanuiEventForecastPrevious
00:30🇦🇺2 pointsʻAe ʻia ka hale (MoM) (Dec)0.9%-3.6%
00:30🇦🇺2 pointsKūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻai (MoM) (Dek)-0.7%0.8%
01:45ʻ2 pointsCaixin Manufacturing PMI (Ian)50.650.5
09:00🇪🇺2 pointsHCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Ian)46.145.1
10:00????????2 pointsHalawai OPEC  --------
10:00🇪🇺2 pointsCPI kumu (YoY) (Ian)  2.6%2.7%
10:00🇪🇺3 pointsCPI (YoY) (Ian) 2.4%2.4%
10:00🇪🇺2 pointsCPI (MoM) (Ian)----0.4%
14:45????????3 pointsS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Ian)50.149.4
15:00????????2 pointsHoʻolilo ʻia no ke kūkulu ʻana (MoM) (Dec)0.3%0.0%
15:00????????2 pointsISM Manufacturing Employment (Ian)----45.4
15:00????????3 pointsISM Manufacturing PMI (Ian)49.349.2
15:00????????3 pointsNā kumukūʻai hana ISM (Ian)52.652.5
17:30????????2 pointsNā kumukūʻai hana ISM (Ian)--------
18:00????????2 pointsʻO Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1)2.9%2.9%

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Pepeluali 3, 2025

Australia (🇦🇺)

ʻAe ʻia ka hale (MoM) (Dec)(00:30 UTC)

  • Ka wānana: 0.9%, Previous: -3.6%.
  • Hiki ke kākoʻo i ka ikaika o AUD i ka hoʻihoʻi hou ʻana i nā ʻae kūkulu hale.
  1. Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻai (MoM) (Dek)(00:30 UTC)
    • Ka wānana: -0.7% Previous: 0.8%.
    • Hiki ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ka AUD ka emi ʻana o ka hoʻolimalima kālā a hōʻike i ka lohi o ka hoʻokele waiwai.

Kina (🇨🇳)

  1. Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Ian)(01:45 UTC)
    • Ka wānana: 50.6, Previous: 50.5.
    • ʻO ka heluhelu ʻana ma luna o 50 e hōʻailona ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka ʻoihana hana o Kina, hiki ke hoʻonui i ka manaʻo ma nā mākeke ʻAsia.

Eurozone (🇪🇺)

  1. HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Ian)(09:00 UTC)
    • Ka wānana: 46.1, Previous: 45.1.
    • Ke ʻoki mau nei (<50), akā hiki ke hōʻike ʻia ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka hoʻokele waiwai.
  2. CPI kumu (YoY) (Ian)(10:00 UTC)
    • Ka wānana: 2.6%, Previous: 2.7%.
    • Hiki i ka hoʻonui haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa ke hoʻonui i nā manaʻolana o ka ECB rate-cut, hoʻonāwaliwali i ka EUR.
  3. CPI (YoY) (Ian)(10:00 UTC)
    • Ka wānana: 2.4%, Previous: 2.4%.
    • Hōʻike ka hoʻonui paʻa ʻaʻole pono koke no nā loli o ka ECB.
  4. CPI (MoM) (Ian)(10:00 UTC)
    • Ka wānana: 0.4%.
    • Hiki i ka heluhelu kiʻekiʻe ke hōʻailona i ka hoʻomau ʻana o ka hoʻonui kālā.

ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa (🇺🇸)

  1. Halawai OPEC(10:00 UTC)
    • Hiki ke hoʻololi i nā hoʻololi a i ʻole nā ​​manaʻo geopolitical i nā kumukūʻai aila a me nā waihona ikehu.
  2. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Ian)(14:45 UTC)
    • Ka wānana: 50.1, Previous: 49.4.
    • ʻO kahi hoʻololi ma luna o 50 e hōʻike ana i ka ulu ʻana, hiki ke kākoʻo i ka manaʻo mākeke.
  3. Hoʻolilo ʻia no ke kūkulu ʻana (MoM) (Dec) (15:00 UTC)
  • Ka wānana: 0.3%, Previous: 0.0%.
  • Hiki i ka ʻikepili hoʻolimalima maikaʻi ke hoʻonui i ka ʻāpana hale.
  1. ISM Manufacturing Employment (Ian) (15:00 UTC)
  • Previous: 45.4.
  • ʻO ka heluhelu ʻana ma lalo o 50 e hōʻike ana i ka emi ʻana o ka hana ma ka ʻāpana.
  1. ISM Manufacturing PMI (Ian) (15:00 UTC)
  • Ka wānana: 49.3, Previous: 49.2.
  • Inā ʻoi aku ia ma mua o 50, hiki iā ia ke hōʻike i ka hoʻihoʻi hou ʻana o ka ʻoihana.
  1. Nā kumukūʻai hana ISM (Ian) (15:00 UTC)
  • Ka wānana: 52.6, Previous: 52.5.
  • ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai hoʻokomo e hōʻike ana i nā hopohopo e hiki mai ana.
  1. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Bostic Member FOMC (17:30 UTC)
  • Hiki ke ʻike i ke alakaʻi kulekele Fed.
  1. ʻO Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1) (18:00 UTC)
  • Ka wānana: 2.9%, Previous: 2.9%.
  • Hiki i ka hoʻonui ke kākoʻo i ka manaʻo bullish i nā kaulike.

Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

  • AUD: Hiki ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ka AUD i ka hāʻule ʻana o nā Kūʻai Kūʻai Kūʻai, ʻoiai ʻo ka hoʻihoʻi hou ʻana i nā ʻae ʻana o ke kūkulu hale hiki ke hoʻopau i nā poho.
  • EUR: Hiki i ka hoʻonui haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa ke hoʻokuʻu i nā manaʻolana i hoʻemi ʻia e ka ECB, e alakaʻi ana i kahi EUR palupalu.
  • USD: E lilo nā ʻikepili ISM a me PMI i nā mea hoʻokele koʻikoʻi; hiki i nā helu ikaika ke hoʻoikaika i ke kālā.
  • Kumukuai aila: Hiki i nā hoʻoholo OPEC ke hoʻonui i ka volatility aila.

Volatility & Impact Score

  • Ka uluʻana: High (ISM Manufacturing PMI, CPI, a me OPEC Meeting he mau hanana nui).
  • Helu hopena: 7/10 - Hiki i ka PMI, ka ʻikepili inflation, a me nā ʻōlelo Fed ke alakaʻi i nā neʻe mākeke nui.