Nā hanana hoʻokele waiwai e hiki mai ana 4 Kekemapa 2024

Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)	Moku'āina	nui	hanana	Forecast	Previous
00:30		2 puan	GDP (QoQ) (Q3)	0.5%	0.2%
00:30		2 puan	GDP (YoY) (Q3)	1.1%	1.0%
00:30		2 puan	au Jibun Bank Japan Services PMI (Nov)	50.2	49.7
01:45		2 puan	PMI lawelawe Caixin (Nov)	52.5	52.0
09:00		2 puan	HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI (Nov)	48.1	50.0
09:00		2 puan	HCOB Eurozone Services PMI (Nov)	49.2	51.6
13:15		3 puan	ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Nov)	166K	233K
13:30		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde	---	---
14:45		2 puan	S&P Global Composite PMI (Nov)	55.3	54.1
14:45		3 puan	S&P Global Services PMI (Nov)	57.0	55.0
15:00		2 puan	Nā Kauoha Hale Hana (MoM) (ʻOkakopa)	0.3%	-0.5%
15:00		2 puan	ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment (Nov)	53.0	53.0
15:00		3 puan	ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Nov)	55.5	56.0
15:00		3 puan	Nā kumukūʻai hana ʻole o ISM (Nov)	56.4	58.1
15:30		3 puan	Na Waiwai Aila	---	-1.844M
15:30		2 puan	Cushing Oil Crude Inventory	---	-0.909M
15:30		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde	---	---
18:45		3 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Fed Chair Powell	---	---
19:00		2 puan	Beige Book	---	---

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Dekemaba 4, 2024

1. ʻIkepili GDP Australia (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
   • QoQ: Ka wānana: 0.5%, Mua: 0.2%.
   • YoY: Ka wānana: 1.1%, Mua: 1.0%.
     ʻO ka ulu ʻana o GDP ikaika e hōʻailona i ka hoʻokele waiwai, e kākoʻo ana i ka AUD. Hōʻike ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali i ka hana hoʻokele waiwai, hiki ke kaupaona ʻia ma ke kālā.
2. Ikepili PMI Iapana a me Kina (00:30–01:45 UTC):
   • ʻO Iapana a me Jibun Bank Services PMI (Nov): Ka wānana: 50.2, Ma mua: 49.7.
   • ʻO ka PMI lawelawe ʻo China Caixin (Nov): Ka wānana: 52.5, Ma mua: 52.0.
     ʻO nā heluhelu PMI ma luna o 50 e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻonui. E kākoʻo nā helu ikaika i ka JPY a me CNY ma ka hōʻailona ʻana i ka hana ʻoihana lawelawe ikaika, ʻoiai ʻoi aku ka nāwaliwali o ka ʻikepili i nā kālā.
3. ʻIkepili PMI Eurozone (09:00 UTC):
   • PMI hui (Nov): Ka wānana: 48.1, Ma mua: 50.0.
   • PMI lawelawe (Nov): Ka wānana: 49.2, Ma mua: 51.6.
     ʻO nā PMI ma lalo o 50 e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa. E kaumaha ana nā ʻikepili nāwaliwali i ka EUR, ʻoiai ʻoi aku ka ikaika o nā heluhelu i manaʻo ʻia e hāʻawi i ke kākoʻo.
4. US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Nov) (13:15 UTC):
   • Ka wānana: 166Ka, XNUMX Previous: 233K.
     Hōʻike i ka ulu ʻana o ka ʻoihana pilikino. Hiki i ka helu nāwaliwali ke hōʻike i ka hoʻoluʻu ʻana o ka mākeke hana, hiki ke kaupaona ʻia ma ka USD. E kākoʻo ka ʻikepili ikaika i ke kālā.
5. ʻŌlelo ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde (13:30 & 15:30 UTC):
   E kākoʻo nā ʻōlelo Hawkish mai Lagarde i ka EUR ma o ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i nā manaʻolana paʻa, ʻoiai nā ʻōlelo dovish hiki ke hoʻopalupalu i ke kālā.
6. Nā Kauoha PMI a me nā Hale Hana US (14:45–15:00 UTC):
   • S&P Global Services PMI (Nov): Ka wānana: 57.0, Ma mua: 55.0.
   • ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Nov): Ka wānana: 55.5, Ma mua: 56.0.
   • Nā Kauoha Hale Hana (MoM) (ʻOkakopa): Ka wānana: 0.3%, Mua: -0.5%.
     ʻO ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka PMI a me nā ʻikepili kauoha ʻoihana e hōʻailona i ke kūpaʻa ʻana i ka ʻoihana US, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD. Hiki ke kaumaha ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali i ke kālā.
7. Nā ʻAila ʻAila ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa (15:30 UTC):
   • Previous: -1.844M.
     E kākoʻo ka huki ʻana i nā kumukūʻai aila a me nā kālā pili i nā mea kūʻai aku, ʻoiai ke kūkulu ʻia e hōʻike ana i nā koi nāwaliwali, e koi ana i nā kumukūʻai.
8. ʻŌlelo ka Luna Hoʻomalu ʻo Powell & Buke Beige (18:45–19:00 UTC):
   Hiki i nā ʻōlelo a Powell a me ka Beige Book ke hāʻawi i nā ʻike i ka manaʻo o ka Fed e pili ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana, ka ulu ʻana, a me nā neʻe kulekele e hiki mai ana. E kākoʻo nā leo Hawkish i ka USD, ʻoiai nā ʻōlelo dovish hiki ke hoʻonāwaliwali iā ia.

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Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

• ʻIkepili GDP Australia:
  E kākoʻo nā helu GDP ikaika i ka AUD, e hōʻailona ana i ka ikaika waiwai. Hiki i nā ʻikepili nāwaliwali ke hoʻohaʻahaʻa i ka manaʻo no ke kālā.
• ʻIkepili PMI Iapana a me Kina:
  E kākoʻo ana ka hoʻonui ʻana i nā ʻāpana lawelawe o Iapana a me Kina i ka JPY a me CNY, e hōʻailona ana i ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana i ka hoʻokele waiwai. Hiki ke kaupaona ʻia ka ʻoki ʻana i nā kālā ʻelua.
• ʻIkepili PMI Eurozone & ʻŌlelo ECB:
  E kaumaha ana nā PMI nāwaliwali i ka EUR ma ka hōʻike ʻana i nā pilikia waiwai. Hiki i ka'ōlelo Hawkish ECB ke kū'ē i ka hopena o nāʻikepili nāwaliwali, e kākoʻo ana i ke kālā.
• US ADP, PMI, a me nā kauoha hale hana:
  ʻO ka hana ikaika a me ka ʻikepili PMI e hoʻoikaika i ka USD ma o ka hōʻailona ʻana i ke kūpaʻa ʻana ma nā ʻāpana hana a me nā lawelawe. Hiki i nā ʻikepili nāwaliwali ke hōʻike i ka hoʻokele waiwai, ke kaupaona ʻana i ke kālā.
• ʻO nā waihona ʻaila ʻaila:
  E kākoʻo ka huki ʻana i nā kumukūʻai aila, e hoʻopōmaikaʻi ana i nā kālā pili waiwai e like me CAD a me AUD. ʻO ke kūkulu ʻana e hōʻailona i ke koi nāwaliwali, e koi ana i nā kumukūʻai.
• Luna Hoʻokele Fed Powell & Beige Book:
  E kākoʻo nā leo Hawkish i ka USD ma o ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i nā manaʻolana piʻi. ʻO nā ʻōlelo Dovish a i ʻole ka manaʻo makaʻala hiki ke kaupaona i ke kālā.

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Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa

Ka uluʻana:
Kiʻekiʻe, me nā ʻikepili koʻikoʻi mai Australia, Eurozone, a me ka US, me ka ʻōlelo hoʻopuka panakō waena mai Lagarde a me Powell e hoʻokumu ana i ka manaʻo mākeke.

Helu hopena: 8/10, alakaʻi ʻia e GDP, PMI, ʻikepili hana, a me nā ʻike panakō waena e hoʻoikaika ana i ka neʻe ʻana o AUD, EUR, a me USD.