Nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana 5 Nowemapa 2024

Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)	Moku'āina	nui	hanana	Forecast	Previous
01:45		2 puan	PMI lawelawe ʻo Caixin (ʻOkakopa)	50.5	50.3
03:30		3 puan	ʻO ka hoʻoholo ʻana i ka uku ukupanee RBA (Nov)	4.35%	4.35%
03:30		2 puan	Hōʻike Kulekele kālā RBA	---	---
03:30		2 puan	Hōʻike Kūkākūkā RBA	---	---
10:00		3 puan	Koho Peresidena o Amerika	---	---
10:00		2 puan	Hui Eurogroup	---	---
13:30		2 puan	Hoʻokuʻu aku (Sep)	---	271.80B
13:30		2 puan	Hoʻokomo ʻia (Sep)	---	342.20B
13:30		2 puan	Kauna Kalepa (Sep)	-83.30B	-70.40B
14:30		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde	---	---
14:45		2 puan	S&P Global Composite PMI (ʻOkakopa)	54.3	54.0
14:45		3 puan	S&P Global Services PMI (ʻOkakopa)	55.3	55.2
15:00		2 puan	ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment (Okt)	---	48.1
15:00		3 puan	PMI Hana ʻAʻole ISM (ʻOkakopa)	53.7	54.9
15:00		3 puan	Nā kumukūʻai hana ʻole o ISM (ʻOkakopa)	---	59.4
18:00		3 puan	Kudala Kudala 10 Makahiki	---	4.066%
18:00		2 puan	ʻO Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)	2.3%	2.3%
18:30		2 puan	ʻŌlelo ʻo Schnabel o ECB	---	---
20:00		2 puan	Hōʻike Kupaa Waiwai RBNZ	---	---
21:30		2 puan	Kahua Aila ʻAila i kēlā me kēia pule API	-0.900M	-0.573M
23:50		2 puan	Monetary Policy Halawai Minute	---	---

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Nowemapa 5, 2024

1. ʻO ka PMI lawelawe ʻo China Caixin (ʻOkakopa) (01:45 UTC):
   ʻO kahi ana nui o ka hana ʻoihana lawelawe o Kina. Ka wānana: 50.5, Mua: 50.3. ʻO kahi heluhelu ma luna o 50 e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana, e hōʻailona ana i ka ulu ʻana o ka ʻoihana lawelawe.
2. ʻO ka hoʻoholo ʻana i ka uku ukupanee RBA (Nov) (03:30 UTC):
   ʻO ka hoʻoholo o ka uku panee a ka Reserve Bank of Australia. Ka wānana: 4.35%, Mua: 4.35%. Hiki ke hoʻololi i ka AUD i kēlā me kēia haʻalele ʻana mai ka wānana.
3. Hōʻike Kūkākūkā kālā RBA a me ka hōʻike uku (03:30 UTC):
   Hoʻopili pū me ka hoʻoholo pākēneka o ka RBA a hāʻawi i nā ʻike i ka nānā ʻana o ka waihona kālā a me ke alakaʻi kulekele.
4. Koho Pelekikena ʻAmelika (10:00 UTC):
   Hele ka poʻe koho balota e koho i ka pelekikena ʻAmelika. Hoʻololi pinepine nā hopena koho i ka volatility market, me nā hopena ma ka USD, equities, a me nā mākeke honua.
5. Hui Eurogroup (10:00 UTC):
   Nā hālāwai o nā Kuhina Waiwai Eurozone e kūkākūkā i nā kulekele waiwai. Hiki i nā hoʻolaha nui ke pili i ka EUR.
6. Kauna Kalepa ʻAmelika (Sep) (13:30 UTC):
   Ana i ka ʻokoʻa ma waena o ka hoʻokuʻu aku a me ka lawe ʻana mai. Ka wānana: -$83.30B, Mua: -$70.40B. ʻO ka hapa nui e hōʻike ana i nā mea lawe mai kiʻekiʻe e pili ana i nā hoʻokuʻu aku, hiki ke kaupaona ʻia ma ka USD.
7. ʻŌlelo ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde (14:30 UTC):
   Hiki i ka Pelekikena ECB ʻo Christine Lagarde ke hāʻawi i nā ʻike i ka nānā ʻana o ka ECB a me ke kūlana o ka hoʻonui ʻana, hiki ke hoʻopilikia i ka EUR.
8. US S&P Global Composite and Services PMI (ʻOkakopa) (14:45 UTC):
   Nā ana o ka ʻoihana holoʻokoʻa a me ka hana ʻoihana lawelawe. Hui Pūʻulu Manaʻo: 54.3, Nā lawelawe: 55.3. ʻO nā heluhelu ma luna o 50 e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻonui, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD.
9. US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (ʻOkakopa) (15:00 UTC):
   ʻO ke ana nui o ka ʻāpana lawelawe US. Ka wānana: 53.7, Mua: 54.9. ʻO ka hāʻule ʻana e hōʻike i ka hoʻolōʻihi ʻana i ka ulu ʻana o nā lawelawe, hiki ke kaupaona ʻia ma ka USD.
10. ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa 10 Makahiki (18:00 UTC):
    Kudala no 10 makahiki Waihona memo. Loaʻa mua: 4.066%. ʻO nā hua kiʻekiʻe e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana i nā kumukūʻai hōʻaiʻē a i ʻole nā ​​manaʻolana hoʻonui, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD.
11. Hōʻike Paʻa Waiwai RBNZ (20:00 UTC):
    ʻO ka hōʻike a Reserve Bank of New Zealand e pili ana i ke kūpaʻa kālā, hiki ke hoʻopilikia i ka NZD ma ka hōʻike ʻana i nā pilikia hoʻokele waiwai a i ʻole ka nānā ʻana i ke kulekele kālā.
12. Kahua ʻAila ʻAila ʻAla I kēlā me kēia pule (21:30 UTC):
    Ana i nā hoʻololi o kēlā me kēia pule i nā waihona ʻaila ʻaila ʻAmelika. Ka wānana: -0.900M, Mua: -0.573M. ʻO ka emi ʻana o ka nui ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia e hōʻailona i ka koi ikaika, e kākoʻo ana i nā kumukūʻai aila.
13. Nā minuke o ka hālāwai hoʻomalu kālā (23:50 UTC):
    Malia paha mai ka Bank of Japan a i ʻole kahi waihona kikowaena ʻē aʻe, e hōʻike ana i nā kūkākūkā kulekele hou a me ka ʻike waiwai, hiki ke hoʻopilikia i ka JPY.

Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

• ʻO nā lawelawe ʻo China Caixin PMI:
  ʻO ka heluhelu ʻana ma luna o 50 e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka ʻāpana lawelawe o Kina, e kākoʻo ana i ka manaʻo pilikia a me nā mea kūʻai aku. ʻO ka emi ʻana e hōʻailona ana i ka ulu lohi ʻana, e pili ana paha i nā waiwai pili i ka pilikia.
• ʻO ka hoʻoholo a me nā ʻōlelo hoʻoholo o ka uku ukupanee RBA:
  Hiki ke hoʻololi nui i ka AUD i kēlā me kēia haʻalele ʻana mai ka helu i manaʻo ʻia. ʻO kahi leo hawkish i loko o nā ʻōlelo e kākoʻo i ka AUD, ʻoiai ʻo ka manaʻo dovish hiki ke hoʻonāwaliwali iā ia.
• Koho Pelekikena ʻAmelika:
  ʻO nā hopena koho e alakaʻi pinepine ai i ka volatility mākeke, me nā hopena ma ka USD, US equities, a me ka manaʻo o ka mākeke honua, ʻoiai nā mea hoʻopukapuka e hoʻoponopono i nā kūlana e pili ana i nā kuhikuhi kulekele i manaʻo ʻia.
• Kauna Kalepa ʻAmelika:
  ʻO ka hoʻonui ʻia ʻana o ka deficit e hōʻike ana i nā hoʻokomo ʻoi aku ka nui e pili ana i nā mea e hoʻokuʻu ʻia aku ai, hiki ke kaupaona ʻia ma ka USD. E kākoʻo ana ka hapa haiki i ke kālā.
• ʻO ka Pelekikena ECB Lagarde ʻōlelo:
  E kākoʻo ana ka ʻōlelo Hawkish e pili ana i ka hoʻonui kālā i ka EUR, ʻoiai nā ʻōlelo dovish e hoʻonāwaliwali iā ia.
• ʻO ka US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI a me 10-Year Note Auction:
  ʻO kahi PMI ikaika e hōʻailona i ke kūpaʻa o ka ʻoihana lawelawe, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD. ʻO nā hua kiʻekiʻe ma ke kūʻai aku e kākoʻo pū i ka USD ma o ka noʻonoʻo ʻana i nā manaʻolana hoʻonui.
• Hōʻike Kūʻai Kūʻai Waiwai RBNZ:
  Hiki ke kaupaona ʻia nā hōʻailona o ka nāwaliwali o ka hoʻokele waiwai a i ʻole ka pilikia kālā ma ka NZD, ʻoiai e kākoʻo ana kahi hiʻohiʻona paʻa.

Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa

Ka uluʻana:
Kiʻekiʻe, me ka manaʻo nui i ka hoʻoholo o ka helu RBA, ke koho pelekikena US, a me ka ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. ʻO ka hopena o ka mākeke i ka ʻōlelo a ECB a me RBNZ e hoʻoikaika pū i ke kālā a me nā mākeke paʻa.

Helu hopena: 8/10, alakaʻi ʻia e nā hanana koʻikoʻi, me ke koho balota ʻAmelika, nā hoʻoholo panakō waena, a me nā hōʻailona waiwai koʻikoʻi ma waena o nā ʻoihana nui e hoʻohālikelike i ka manaʻo i ka hoʻokele waiwai honua a me ke alakaʻi kulekele.