Nā hanana hoʻokele waiwai e hiki mai ana 6 Kekemapa 2024

Wā(GMT+0/UTC+0)	Moku'āina	nui	hanana	Forecast	Previous
00:30		2 puan	Nā hōʻaiʻē home (MoM) (ʻOkakopa)	---	0.1%
10:00		2 puan	GDP (YoY) (Q3)	0.9%	0.6%
10:00		2 puan	GDP (QoQ) (Q3)	0.4%	0.4%
13:30		2 puan	Loaʻa Loaʻa i kēlā me kēia hola (YoY) (YoY) (Nov)	---	4.0%
13:30		3 puan	Loaʻa Loaʻa i kēlā me kēia hola (MoM) (Nov)	0.3%	0.4%
13:30		3 puan	Nā uku uku ʻole mahiʻai (Nov)	202K	12K
13:30		2 puan	Ka helu komo ʻana (Nov)	---	62.6%
13:30		2 puan	Nā uku uku no ka mahiʻai ʻole (Nov)	160K	-28K
13:30		2 puan	U6 uku hana ole (Nov)	---	7.7%
13:30		3 puan	Ka helu hana ʻole (Nov)	4.2%	4.1%
14:15		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Bowman lālā FOMC	---	---
15:00		2 puan	ʻO nā manaʻolana hoʻonui makahiki ʻo Michigan (Dek)	---	2.6%
15:00		2 puan	ʻO nā manaʻolana hoʻonui makahiki ʻo Michigan (Dek)	---	3.2%
15:00		2 puan	Manaʻolana nā mea kūʻai aku ma Michigan (Dek)	---	76.9
15:00		2 puan	Manaʻo mea kūʻai aku ma Michigan (Dek)	73.1	71.8
18:00		2 puan	Ka helu ʻana o ka ʻaila ʻaila ʻo US Baker Hughes	478	477
18:00		2 puan	Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Daly Member FOMC	---	---
18:00		2 puan	Hui Pū ʻia ʻo Baker Hughes ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa	---	582
20:00		2 puan	ʻAiʻai meaʻai (ʻOkakopa)	10.10B	6.00B
20:30		2 puan	Nā kūlana net speculative CFTC Oil Crude	---	200.4K
20:30		2 puan	CFTC Gold speculative net kūlana	---	250.3K
20:30		2 puan	ʻO CFTC Nasdaq 100 mau kūlana kikoʻī	---	19.5K
20:30		2 puan	CFTC S&P 500 mau kūlana kikoʻī kikoʻī	---	-78.9K
20:30		2 puan	Nā kūlana net speculative CFTC AUD	---	31.8K
20:30		2 puan	CFTC JPY nā kūlana net speculative	---	-22.6K
20:30		2 puan	Nā kūlana net speculative CFTC EUR	---	-56.0K

Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo o nā hanana waiwai e hiki mai ana ma Dekemaba 6, 2024

1. ʻAukekulelia Home Loans (MoM) (ʻOkakopa) (00:30 UTC):
   • Previous: 0.1%.
     Hōʻike i nā loli i ka nui o nā hōʻaiʻē home hou i hoʻopuka ʻia. Hōʻike ka ulu ʻana i ka ikaika ma ka mākeke hale a me ka hilinaʻi o nā mea kūʻai aku, e kākoʻo ana i ka AUD. E kaumaha ana ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali i ke kālā.
2. GDP Eurozone (Q3) (10:00 UTC):
   • YoY: Ka wānana: 0.9%, Mua: 0.6%.
   • QoQ: Ka wānana: 0.4%, Mua: 0.4%.
     ʻO ka ulu ikaika o GDP e hōʻailona i ka hoʻokele waiwai, e kākoʻo ana i ka EUR. ʻO ka ulu haʻahaʻa ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia hiki ke kaupaona i ke kālā.
3. ʻIkepili Makeke Hana Hana (Nov) (13:30 UTC):
   • Nā uku uku no ka mahiʻai ʻole: Ka wānana: 202K, Mua: 12K.
   • Nā uku uku no ka mahiʻai ʻole: Ka wānana: 160K, Mua: -28K.
   • Ka helu hana ʻole: Ka wānana: 4.2%, Mua: 4.1%.
   • Loaʻa ma ka hola maʻamau (MoM): Ka wānana: 0.3%, Mua: 0.4%.
   • Loaʻa Loaʻa i kēlā me kēia hola (YoY): Mua: 4.0%.
     ʻO ka ikaika o ka mākeke hana e hoʻoikaika i nā manaʻolana o ka hoʻokele waiwai, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD. Hiki i nā ʻikepili nāwaliwali-ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia ke hōʻailona i ka lohi ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai, hiki ke hoʻopalupalu i ke kālā.
4. ʻO ka Manaʻo Kūʻai a me nā Manaʻo Hoʻonui i ka US Michigan (15:00 UTC):
   • 1-makahiki hoʻonui manaʻolana: Mua: 2.6%.
   • 5-makahiki hoʻonui manaʻolana: Mua: 3.2%.
   • Manaʻo mea kūʻai: Ka wānana: 73.1, Ma mua: 71.8.
     ʻO ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka manaʻo a me nā manaʻolana hoʻonui paʻa e kākoʻo i ka USD ma o ka noʻonoʻo ʻana i ka hilinaʻi o ka mea kūʻai aku a me ke kūpaʻa kumu kūʻai.
5. Helu Rig US Baker Hughes (18:00 UTC):
   • Ka helu ʻaila: Mua: 478.
   • Ka helu ʻana o nā pū: Mua: 582.
     ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o nā helu ʻaila e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka lako aila, e koi ana i nā kumukūʻai aila, ʻoiai ʻo ka emi ʻana o nā helu e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i ka lako, e kākoʻo ana i nā kumukūʻai.
6. ʻAiʻai ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa (ʻOkakopa) (20:00 UTC):
   • Ka wānana: 10.10B, Previous: 6.00B.
     Hōʻike ka ulu ʻana o ka hōʻaiʻē kiʻekiʻe i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hōʻaiʻē, e hōʻailona ana i ka hilinaʻi o ka mea kūʻai aku, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD. ʻO ka emi ʻana o ka ulu ʻana o ka hōʻaiʻē hiki ke hōʻike i ka makaʻala i waena o nā mea kūʻai.
7. Nā Kūlana Kūlana Kūlana CFTC (20:30 UTC):
   • Tracks manao speculative in aila man, gula, nā kaulike kaulike, a nā kālā nui. Hāʻawi nā hoʻololi i nā kūlana i nā ʻike i nā manaʻolana o ka mākeke a me nā neʻe kumukūʻai.

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Ka Hoʻopono Makeke

• ʻAukekulelia Home Loan:
  ʻO ka ulu ʻana o ka hōʻaiʻē home e hōʻailona i ke kūpaʻa i ka mākeke hale o Australia, e kākoʻo ana i ka AUD. Hiki ke kaumaha ka ʻikepili nāwaliwali i ke kālā.
• GDP Eurozone:
  E kākoʻo ka ulu GDP ikaika i ka EUR ma ka hōʻike ʻana i ke kūpaʻa waiwai. Hiki i ka ulu haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa i manaʻo ʻia ke hoʻonāwaliwali i ka EUR, e hōʻike ana i nā pilikia i ka hoʻokele Eurozone.
• ʻIkepili Makeke Hana Hana:
  ʻO nā helu uku uku a me ka ulu ʻana o ka uku paʻa e hoʻoikaika i ka ikaika USD ma o ka hōʻailona ʻana i nā kūlana mākeke hana paʻa. E hōʻike ana nā ʻikepili hana nāwaliwali i ka hoʻoilo ʻana i ka hoʻokele waiwai, hiki ke hoʻopalupalu i ke kālā.
• ʻO ka manaʻo o nā mea kūʻai aku a me nā manaʻolana hoʻonui:
  ʻO ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka manaʻo a me nā manaʻolana hoʻonui paʻa e hōʻailona i ka hoʻokele waiwai, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD. ʻO ka manaʻo nāwaliwali a i ʻole ka piʻi ʻana o ka hoʻonui kālā hiki ke kaupaona i ke kālā.
• Ka helu ʻana a me ka hōʻaiʻē mea kūʻai aku ʻo US Baker Hughes Rig:
  ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o ka nui o ka rig e koi i nā kumukūʻai aila, e pili ana i nā kālā pili waiwai e like me CAD. ʻO ka ulu ʻana o nā mea kūʻai aku e hōʻike i ka hilinaʻi o ka mea kūʻai aku, e kākoʻo ana i ka USD.

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Ka hopena holoʻokoʻa

Ka uluʻana:
Kiʻekiʻe, alakaʻi ʻia e ka ʻikepili mākeke limahana US, Eurozone GDP, a me ka manaʻo o nā mea kūʻai aku ʻo Michigan. ʻO nā hōʻano hou o OPEC a me ka helu Baker Hughes rig e hoʻoikaika i nā kumukūʻai aila a me nā kālā pili waiwai.

Helu hopena: 8/10, me ka manaʻo nui i nā uku uku ʻole, ka ulu ʻana o ka uku, a me ka manaʻo o nā mea kūʻai aku e hoʻohālikelike ana i nā manaʻolana no ka USD a me ka manaʻo o ka mākeke honua.